Recent inflation data hovering near 3.5% alongside a resilient labor market with unemployment around 4.1% have sustained hawkish pressures within the FOMC, driving the closely bunched market-implied probabilities for 2, 3, or 4+ dissents at the December 2026 meeting. The July 2026 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% featured three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, underscoring internal divisions over whether elevated price pressures from supply shocks warrant tighter policy despite solid growth and anchored longer-term expectations. June dot-plot projections revealed wide dispersion for year-end 2026 rates, with several participants favoring hikes while others projected stability or cuts. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC decision, August CPI and employment reports, and any shifts in Treasury yields that could alter the balance of risks ahead of year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 24.2%
3 24%
4+ 22%
1 17.4%
最新
最新
2026-12-09
0
16%
1
17%
2
24%
3
24%
4+
22%
2 24.2%
3 24%
4+ 22%
1 17.4%
最新
最新
2026-12-09
0
$6,060 交易量
16%
1
$314 交易量
17%
2
$134 交易量
24%
3
$153 交易量
24%
4+
$168 交易量
22%
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent inflation data hovering near 3.5% alongside a resilient labor market with unemployment around 4.1% have sustained hawkish pressures within the FOMC, driving the closely bunched market-implied probabilities for 2, 3, or 4+ dissents at the December 2026 meeting. The July 2026 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% featured three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, underscoring internal divisions over whether elevated price pressures from supply shocks warrant tighter policy despite solid growth and anchored longer-term expectations. June dot-plot projections revealed wide dispersion for year-end 2026 rates, with several participants favoring hikes while others projected stability or cuts. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC decision, August CPI and employment reports, and any shifts in Treasury yields that could alter the balance of risks ahead of year-end.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
交易量
$6,829結束日期
2026-12-09市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent inflation data hovering near 3.5% alongside a resilient labor market with unemployment around 4.1% have sustained hawkish pressures within the FOMC, driving the closely bunched market-implied probabilities for 2, 3, or 4+ dissents at the December 2026 meeting. The July 2026 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% featured three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, underscoring internal divisions over whether elevated price pressures from supply shocks warrant tighter policy despite solid growth and anchored longer-term expectations. June dot-plot projections revealed wide dispersion for year-end 2026 rates, with several participants favoring hikes while others projected stability or cuts. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC decision, August CPI and employment reports, and any shifts in Treasury yields that could alter the balance of risks ahead of year-end.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$6,829結束日期
2026-12-09市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation data hovering near 3.5% alongside a resilient labor market with unemployment around 4.1% have sustained hawkish pressures within the FOMC, driving the closely bunched market-implied probabilities for 2, 3, or 4+ dissents at the December 2026 meeting. The July 2026 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% featured three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, underscoring internal divisions over whether elevated price pressures from supply shocks warrant tighter policy despite solid growth and anchored longer-term expectations. June dot-plot projections revealed wide dispersion for year-end 2026 rates, with several participants favoring hikes while others projected stability or cuts. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC decision, August CPI and employment reports, and any shifts in Treasury yields that could alter the balance of risks ahead of year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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