The September FOMC meeting's unanimous 12-0 vote to hike the federal funds rate to the 3.75-4.00% range has anchored trader expectations for zero or minimal dissent at the October 27-28 gathering, with that outcome priced at 45.5%. Persistent inflation around 3.7% PCE, upward revisions to year-end forecasts, and Chair Warsh's emphasis on a "timelier" return to the 2% target have aligned the committee after earlier split votes, such as the July 9-3 decision. The October session lacks a Summary of Economic Projections, limiting scope for public divisions compared to quarterly meetings, while incoming data on inflation and labor conditions before the vote represent the main swing factors. Market-implied odds reflect this recent cohesion amid the hawkish policy path.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於在10月聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見?
0 49%
1 20%
4人或以上 18%
3 14%
0
49%
1
20%
2
8%
3
14%
4人或以上
18%
0 49%
1 20%
4人或以上 18%
3 14%
0
49%
1
20%
2
8%
3
14%
4人或以上
18%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The September FOMC meeting's unanimous 12-0 vote to hike the federal funds rate to the 3.75-4.00% range has anchored trader expectations for zero or minimal dissent at the October 27-28 gathering, with that outcome priced at 45.5%. Persistent inflation around 3.7% PCE, upward revisions to year-end forecasts, and Chair Warsh's emphasis on a "timelier" return to the 2% target have aligned the committee after earlier split votes, such as the July 9-3 decision. The October session lacks a Summary of Economic Projections, limiting scope for public divisions compared to quarterly meetings, while incoming data on inflation and labor conditions before the vote represent the main swing factors. Market-implied odds reflect this recent cohesion amid the hawkish policy path.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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