Skip to main content

如需在美國交易,請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 在10月聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見?

在10月聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見?

icon for 在10月聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見?

在10月聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見?

0 49%

1 20%

4人或以上 18%

3 14%

Polymarket
最新

0 49%

1 20%

4人或以上 18%

3 14%

Polymarket
最新

0

$1,086 交易量

49%

1

$408 交易量

20%

2

$763 交易量

8%

3

$870 交易量

14%

4人或以上

$753 交易量

18%

The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The September FOMC meeting's unanimous 12-0 vote to hike the federal funds rate to the 3.75-4.00% range has anchored trader expectations for zero or minimal dissent at the October 27-28 gathering, with that outcome priced at 45.5%. Persistent inflation around 3.7% PCE, upward revisions to year-end forecasts, and Chair Warsh's emphasis on a "timelier" return to the 2% target have aligned the committee after earlier split votes, such as the July 9-3 decision. The October session lacks a Summary of Economic Projections, limiting scope for public divisions compared to quarterly meetings, while incoming data on inflation and labor conditions before the vote represent the main swing factors. Market-implied odds reflect this recent cohesion amid the hawkish policy path.

The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$3,879
結束日期
2026-10-28
市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The September FOMC meeting's unanimous 12-0 vote to hike the federal funds rate to the 3.75-4.00% range has anchored trader expectations for zero or minimal dissent at the October 27-28 gathering, with that outcome priced at 45.5%. Persistent inflation around 3.7% PCE, upward revisions to year-end forecasts, and Chair Warsh's emphasis on a "timelier" return to the 2% target have aligned the committee after earlier split votes, such as the July 9-3 decision. The October session lacks a Summary of Economic Projections, limiting scope for public divisions compared to quarterly meetings, while incoming data on inflation and labor conditions before the vote represent the main swing factors. Market-implied odds reflect this recent cohesion amid the hawkish policy path.

The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$3,879
結束日期
2026-10-28
市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"在10月聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "0" at 49%, followed by "1" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"在10月聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "在10月聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "在10月聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見?" is "0" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "在10月聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.