Recent August nonfarm payrolls surged 162,000—well above the 55,000–65,000 consensus—with upward revisions to prior months and the unemployment rate holding at 4.1%. This resilience, driven by rebounds in food services and local government education, contrasts with softer June–July prints averaging under 50,000 and supports views of a stable labor market near full employment. Trader-implied odds cluster around modest September gains of 0–150,000, reflecting seasonal distortions, potential drags from policy shifts such as Temporary Protected Status changes, and mean reversion after the August spike. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting and October 2 jobs release remain key catalysts, with market-implied probabilities underscoring uncertainty over whether momentum persists or cools toward base-rate trends near 100,000 monthly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5萬至10萬 27%
0到5萬 21%
10萬到15萬 21%
-5萬至0 14%
最新
最新
2026-10-02
<-5萬
9%
-5萬至0
14%
0到5萬
21%
5萬至10萬
27%
10萬到15萬
21%
15萬至20萬
7%
20萬以上
6%
5萬至10萬 27%
0到5萬 21%
10萬到15萬 21%
-5萬至0 14%
最新
最新
2026-10-02
<-5萬
$248 交易量
9%
-5萬至0
$337 交易量
14%
0到5萬
$370 交易量
21%
5萬至10萬
$314 交易量
27%
10萬到15萬
$262 交易量
21%
15萬至20萬
$262 交易量
7%
20萬以上
$460 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent August nonfarm payrolls surged 162,000—well above the 55,000–65,000 consensus—with upward revisions to prior months and the unemployment rate holding at 4.1%. This resilience, driven by rebounds in food services and local government education, contrasts with softer June–July prints averaging under 50,000 and supports views of a stable labor market near full employment. Trader-implied odds cluster around modest September gains of 0–150,000, reflecting seasonal distortions, potential drags from policy shifts such as Temporary Protected Status changes, and mean reversion after the August spike. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting and October 2 jobs release remain key catalysts, with market-implied probabilities underscoring uncertainty over whether momentum persists or cools toward base-rate trends near 100,000 monthly.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
交易量
$2,253結束日期
2026-10-03市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent August nonfarm payrolls surged 162,000—well above the 55,000–65,000 consensus—with upward revisions to prior months and the unemployment rate holding at 4.1%. This resilience, driven by rebounds in food services and local government education, contrasts with softer June–July prints averaging under 50,000 and supports views of a stable labor market near full employment. Trader-implied odds cluster around modest September gains of 0–150,000, reflecting seasonal distortions, potential drags from policy shifts such as Temporary Protected Status changes, and mean reversion after the August spike. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting and October 2 jobs release remain key catalysts, with market-implied probabilities underscoring uncertainty over whether momentum persists or cools toward base-rate trends near 100,000 monthly.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
交易量
$2,253結束日期
2026-10-03市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETRecent August nonfarm payrolls surged 162,000—well above the 55,000–65,000 consensus—with upward revisions to prior months and the unemployment rate holding at 4.1%. This resilience, driven by rebounds in food services and local government education, contrasts with softer June–July prints averaging under 50,000 and supports views of a stable labor market near full employment. Trader-implied odds cluster around modest September gains of 0–150,000, reflecting seasonal distortions, potential drags from policy shifts such as Temporary Protected Status changes, and mean reversion after the August spike. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting and October 2 jobs release remain key catalysts, with market-implied probabilities underscoring uncertainty over whether momentum persists or cools toward base-rate trends near 100,000 monthly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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