The Iranian regime's consolidation of power under Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and Revolutionary Guard influence following the February 2026 conflict has reinforced internal cohesion, with security forces demonstrating sustained loyalty amid economic strains from sanctions and blockades. Recent official statements emphasize national unity and wartime resource management to avert domestic unrest, while ongoing diplomatic signals and the absence of reported factional defections or organized plotting reduce near-term coup risks through June. Traders view these structural barriers, including the regime's history of rapid protest suppression and institutional entrenchment, as outweighing isolated rumors from earlier in the year.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$1,128,437 交易量
$1,128,437 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$1,128,437 交易量
$1,128,437 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Iranian regime's consolidation of power under Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and Revolutionary Guard influence following the February 2026 conflict has reinforced internal cohesion, with security forces demonstrating sustained loyalty amid economic strains from sanctions and blockades. Recent official statements emphasize national unity and wartime resource management to avert domestic unrest, while ongoing diplomatic signals and the absence of reported factional defections or organized plotting reduce near-term coup risks through June. Traders view these structural barriers, including the regime's history of rapid protest suppression and institutional entrenchment, as outweighing isolated rumors from earlier in the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
交易量
$1,128,437結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Iranian regime's consolidation of power under Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and Revolutionary Guard influence following the February 2026 conflict has reinforced internal cohesion, with security forces demonstrating sustained loyalty amid economic strains from sanctions and blockades. Recent official statements emphasize national unity and wartime resource management to avert domestic unrest, while ongoing diplomatic signals and the absence of reported factional defections or organized plotting reduce near-term coup risks through June. Traders view these structural barriers, including the regime's history of rapid protest suppression and institutional entrenchment, as outweighing isolated rumors from earlier in the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,128,548結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Iranian regime's consolidation of power under Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and Revolutionary Guard influence following the February 2026 conflict has reinforced internal cohesion, with security forces demonstrating sustained loyalty amid economic strains from sanctions and blockades. Recent official statements emphasize national unity and wartime resource management to avert domestic unrest, while ongoing diplomatic signals and the absence of reported factional defections or organized plotting reduce near-term coup risks through June. Traders view these structural barriers, including the regime's history of rapid protest suppression and institutional entrenchment, as outweighing isolated rumors from earlier in the year.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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