The market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts reflects traders' assessment of the low frequency of new content from official Khamenei accounts during this period. These channels have primarily recirculated archival statements or quotes from the late Ali Khamenei or his successor Mojtaba amid Iran's ongoing regional tensions, leadership transition following the earlier assassination, and persistent health speculation around the current supreme leader. Recent activity has centered on scheduled religious observances or general messaging rather than fresh statements, aligning with historical patterns of restrained output from the office during periods of conflict or internal focus. A major diplomatic development, direct escalation requiring official clarification, or public address to counter rumors could increase volume and shift probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Khamenei # posts 2026年9月15日至9月22日？
Khamenei # posts 2026年9月15日至9月22日？
少於5 99.4%
20-24 <1%
25-29 <1%
30-34 <1%
$19,109 交易量
$19,109 交易量
2026-09-22
少於5
99%
5-9
<1%
10-14
<1%
15-19
<1%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
少於5 99.4%
20-24 <1%
25-29 <1%
30-34 <1%
$19,109 交易量
$19,109 交易量
2026-09-22
少於5
$3,547 交易量
99%
5-9
$3,003 交易量
<1%
10-14
$1,831 交易量
<1%
15-19
$1,666 交易量
<1%
20-24
$2,087 交易量
1%
25-29
$2,093 交易量
<1%
30-34
$2,093 交易量
<1%
35-39
$696 交易量
<1%
40-44
$606 交易量
<1%
45-49
$365 交易量
<1%
50-54
$369 交易量
<1%
55-59
$384 交易量
<1%
60+
$369 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts reflects traders' assessment of the low frequency of new content from official Khamenei accounts during this period. These channels have primarily recirculated archival statements or quotes from the late Ali Khamenei or his successor Mojtaba amid Iran's ongoing regional tensions, leadership transition following the earlier assassination, and persistent health speculation around the current supreme leader. Recent activity has centered on scheduled religious observances or general messaging rather than fresh statements, aligning with historical patterns of restrained output from the office during periods of conflict or internal focus. A major diplomatic development, direct escalation requiring official clarification, or public address to counter rumors could increase volume and shift probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$19,109結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts reflects traders' assessment of the low frequency of new content from official Khamenei accounts during this period. These channels have primarily recirculated archival statements or quotes from the late Ali Khamenei or his successor Mojtaba amid Iran's ongoing regional tensions, leadership transition following the earlier assassination, and persistent health speculation around the current supreme leader. Recent activity has centered on scheduled religious observances or general messaging rather than fresh statements, aligning with historical patterns of restrained output from the office during periods of conflict or internal focus. A major diplomatic development, direct escalation requiring official clarification, or public address to counter rumors could increase volume and shift probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$19,109結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETThe market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts reflects traders' assessment of the low frequency of new content from official Khamenei accounts during this period. These channels have primarily recirculated archival statements or quotes from the late Ali Khamenei or his successor Mojtaba amid Iran's ongoing regional tensions, leadership transition following the earlier assassination, and persistent health speculation around the current supreme leader. Recent activity has centered on scheduled religious observances or general messaging rather than fresh statements, aligning with historical patterns of restrained output from the office during periods of conflict or internal focus. A major diplomatic development, direct escalation requiring official clarification, or public address to counter rumors could increase volume and shift probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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