Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and KNMI indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 23 likely near 11–13°C, driven by moderate Atlantic flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Ensemble spreads show slight variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on whether clearer conditions allow greater heat loss or increased humidity traps warmth overnight. Historical August climatology places typical minima around 12–14°C, providing context for why trader probabilities cluster tightly on these values rather than extremes. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine steering patterns and local effects ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度？
8月23日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度？
13°C 24%
12°C 23%
11°C 18%
14°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
8°C or below
2%
9°C
11%
10°C
14%
11°C
18%
12°C
23%
13°C
24%
14°C
16%
15°C
13%
16°C
10%
17°C
3%
18°C或以上
1%
13°C 24%
12°C 23%
11°C 18%
14°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
8°C or below
$15 交易量
2%
9°C
$0 交易量
11%
10°C
$0 交易量
14%
11°C
$0 交易量
18%
12°C
$0 交易量
23%
13°C
$0 交易量
24%
14°C
$0 交易量
16%
15°C
$15 交易量
13%
16°C
$20 交易量
10%
17°C
$20 交易量
3%
18°C或以上
$27 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and KNMI indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 23 likely near 11–13°C, driven by moderate Atlantic flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Ensemble spreads show slight variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on whether clearer conditions allow greater heat loss or increased humidity traps warmth overnight. Historical August climatology places typical minima around 12–14°C, providing context for why trader probabilities cluster tightly on these values rather than extremes. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine steering patterns and local effects ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$97結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and KNMI indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 23 likely near 11–13°C, driven by moderate Atlantic flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Ensemble spreads show slight variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on whether clearer conditions allow greater heat loss or increased humidity traps warmth overnight. Historical August climatology places typical minima around 12–14°C, providing context for why trader probabilities cluster tightly on these values rather than extremes. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine steering patterns and local effects ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$97結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETForecast models from agencies like the Met Office and KNMI indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 23 likely near 11–13°C, driven by moderate Atlantic flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Ensemble spreads show slight variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on whether clearer conditions allow greater heat loss or increased humidity traps warmth overnight. Historical August climatology places typical minima around 12–14°C, providing context for why trader probabilities cluster tightly on these values rather than extremes. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine steering patterns and local effects ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions