Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather converge on a minimum temperature near 13°C for Amsterdam on August 21, driven by moderate westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological baselines of 13–14°C overnight lows for the period and current observational trends showing limited diurnal temperature range. Market-implied odds exceeding 97% for 13°C reflect traders’ assessment of model consensus and low forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges include localized clear-sky radiational cooling dropping readings below this threshold or minor revisions in official station data from Amsterdam Airport or central sites, though such shifts appear improbable given stable atmospheric conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度?
13°C 98%
12°C 9%
11°C 3.0%
15°C <1%
$4,856 交易量
$4,856 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
7%
12°C
9%
13°C
98%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 98%
12°C 9%
11°C 3.0%
15°C <1%
$4,856 交易量
$4,856 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
7%
12°C
9%
13°C
98%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather converge on a minimum temperature near 13°C for Amsterdam on August 21, driven by moderate westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological baselines of 13–14°C overnight lows for the period and current observational trends showing limited diurnal temperature range. Market-implied odds exceeding 97% for 13°C reflect traders’ assessment of model consensus and low forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges include localized clear-sky radiational cooling dropping readings below this threshold or minor revisions in official station data from Amsterdam Airport or central sites, though such shifts appear improbable given stable atmospheric conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions