Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a daily minimum in Denver around the mid-to-upper 60s on August 21, driven by scattered thunderstorms and elevated overnight humidity that limit radiative cooling under the Front Range’s typical August regime. With daytime highs forecast near 90–93 °F, the key variables separating the tightly bunched 62–69 °F bins are the timing of any clearing, boundary-layer wind speeds, and exact dew-point depression overnight—factors that produce only modest night-to-night variability this late in the season. Historical normals place the Aug 21 low near 57 °F, yet current moisture and storm activity have elevated the floor, explaining why sub-60 °F outcomes carry negligible market weight while the 68–69 °F bin leads. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs tonight will refine the final reading before official Denver observation closes the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日丹佛的最低溫度?
64-65°F 29%
62-63°F 28%
66-67°F 28%
68-69°F 28%
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
29%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 29%
62-63°F 28%
66-67°F 28%
68-69°F 28%
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
29%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a daily minimum in Denver around the mid-to-upper 60s on August 21, driven by scattered thunderstorms and elevated overnight humidity that limit radiative cooling under the Front Range’s typical August regime. With daytime highs forecast near 90–93 °F, the key variables separating the tightly bunched 62–69 °F bins are the timing of any clearing, boundary-layer wind speeds, and exact dew-point depression overnight—factors that produce only modest night-to-night variability this late in the season. Historical normals place the Aug 21 low near 57 °F, yet current moisture and storm activity have elevated the floor, explaining why sub-60 °F outcomes carry negligible market weight while the 68–69 °F bin leads. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs tonight will refine the final reading before official Denver observation closes the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions