**Recent forecasts from NOAA and local meteorological services projected overnight lows in the mid-60s for Denver on September 13, 2026, under a ridge of high pressure with southerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** This setup suppressed radiational cooling typical for the date, when the 1991–2020 climatological average low stands near 50°F. Model consensus and real-time observations pointed to a minimum around 63–66°F, directly supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 58–59°F outcome at 75% implied probability. Cooler 57°F-or-below scenarios remained possible only with unexpected cloud cover or a stronger frontal passage, while higher bins reflected minimal trader belief in significant warming overnight. Official station data from Denver International Airport will confirm the exact minimum for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日丹佛的最低溫度?
58-59°F 99.9%
57°F或以下 10.1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$1,050 交易量
$1,050 交易量
57°F或以下
否
58-59°F
是
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76°F或以上
否
58-59°F 99.9%
57°F或以下 10.1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$1,050 交易量
$1,050 交易量
57°F或以下
否
58-59°F
是
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76°F或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Recent forecasts from NOAA and local meteorological services projected overnight lows in the mid-60s for Denver on September 13, 2026, under a ridge of high pressure with southerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** This setup suppressed radiational cooling typical for the date, when the 1991–2020 climatological average low stands near 50°F. Model consensus and real-time observations pointed to a minimum around 63–66°F, directly supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 58–59°F outcome at 75% implied probability. Cooler 57°F-or-below scenarios remained possible only with unexpected cloud cover or a stronger frontal passage, while higher bins reflected minimal trader belief in significant warming overnight. Official station data from Denver International Airport will confirm the exact minimum for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions