**Mild overnight conditions driven by a warm air mass and light southwesterly winds are positioning the lowest temperature in London on September 13 near 17–18°C.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate minimums around 16°C under mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling, with actual station readings from sites such as London City Airport and Heathrow trending slightly higher into the upper teens. This aligns with the market’s strong 73.5% implied probability on 18°C and 16.5% on 17°C, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus and limited scope for sharper drops given the current synoptic pattern. Historical September averages for central London hover near 12–14°C, so the elevated readings represent above-normal warmth that could shift only with unexpected clear skies or a sharper wind shift before final observations close the daily minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日倫敦的最低溫度？
9月13日倫敦的最低溫度？
18°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$10,956 交易量
$10,956 交易量
2026-09-13
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
18°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$10,956 交易量
$10,956 交易量
2026-09-13
12°C或以下
$155 交易量
否
13°C
$155 交易量
否
14°C
$55 交易量
否
15°C
$360 交易量
否
16°C
$881 交易量
否
17°C
$2,818 交易量
否
18°C
$3,125 交易量
是
19°C
$2,235 交易量
否
20°C
$862 交易量
否
21°C
$155 交易量
否
22°C或更高
$155 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild overnight conditions driven by a warm air mass and light southwesterly winds are positioning the lowest temperature in London on September 13 near 17–18°C.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate minimums around 16°C under mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling, with actual station readings from sites such as London City Airport and Heathrow trending slightly higher into the upper teens. This aligns with the market’s strong 73.5% implied probability on 18°C and 16.5% on 17°C, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus and limited scope for sharper drops given the current synoptic pattern. Historical September averages for central London hover near 12–14°C, so the elevated readings represent above-normal warmth that could shift only with unexpected clear skies or a sharper wind shift before final observations close the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$10,956結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild overnight conditions driven by a warm air mass and light southwesterly winds are positioning the lowest temperature in London on September 13 near 17–18°C.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate minimums around 16°C under mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling, with actual station readings from sites such as London City Airport and Heathrow trending slightly higher into the upper teens. This aligns with the market’s strong 73.5% implied probability on 18°C and 16.5% on 17°C, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus and limited scope for sharper drops given the current synoptic pattern. Historical September averages for central London hover near 12–14°C, so the elevated readings represent above-normal warmth that could shift only with unexpected clear skies or a sharper wind shift before final observations close the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,956結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Mild overnight conditions driven by a warm air mass and light southwesterly winds are positioning the lowest temperature in London on September 13 near 17–18°C.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate minimums around 16°C under mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling, with actual station readings from sites such as London City Airport and Heathrow trending slightly higher into the upper teens. This aligns with the market’s strong 73.5% implied probability on 18°C and 16.5% on 17°C, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus and limited scope for sharper drops given the current synoptic pattern. Historical September averages for central London hover near 12–14°C, so the elevated readings represent above-normal warmth that could shift only with unexpected clear skies or a sharper wind shift before final observations close the daily minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions