**Forecast models from the Met Office and other sources indicate a clear, high-pressure setup over London on September 21, 2026, supporting overnight radiational cooling that should drive the daily minimum into the 11–12 °C range.** Daytime highs are expected near 22–23 °C under mostly sunny skies with light winds, but the absence of cloud cover and calm conditions overnight favor temperatures dropping to around 11–13 °C in the early morning hours. Recent observations show minima consistently in this band, with no significant frontal systems or increased wind to moderate cooling. Market-implied odds heavily favor 11 °C or 12 °C because these align with the consensus forecast envelope, while lower outcomes like 10 °C remain possible only if local urban heat-island effects are weaker than modeled. Updated guidance through the day will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日倫敦的最低溫度？
9月21日倫敦的最低溫度？
11°C 63%
12°C 37%
10°C 16%
8°C或以下 5.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
8°C或以下
6%
9°C
1%
10°C
16%
11°C
63%
12°C
30%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或以上
<1%
11°C 63%
12°C 37%
10°C 16%
8°C或以下 5.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
8°C或以下
$533 交易量
6%
9°C
$284 交易量
1%
10°C
$1,634 交易量
16%
11°C
$1,336 交易量
63%
12°C
$1,443 交易量
30%
13°C
$698 交易量
<1%
14°C
$146 交易量
<1%
15°C
$31 交易量
<1%
16°C
$31 交易量
<1%
17°C
$31 交易量
<1%
18°C或以上
$31 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Met Office and other sources indicate a clear, high-pressure setup over London on September 21, 2026, supporting overnight radiational cooling that should drive the daily minimum into the 11–12 °C range.** Daytime highs are expected near 22–23 °C under mostly sunny skies with light winds, but the absence of cloud cover and calm conditions overnight favor temperatures dropping to around 11–13 °C in the early morning hours. Recent observations show minima consistently in this band, with no significant frontal systems or increased wind to moderate cooling. Market-implied odds heavily favor 11 °C or 12 °C because these align with the consensus forecast envelope, while lower outcomes like 10 °C remain possible only if local urban heat-island effects are weaker than modeled. Updated guidance through the day will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$6,199結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Met Office and other sources indicate a clear, high-pressure setup over London on September 21, 2026, supporting overnight radiational cooling that should drive the daily minimum into the 11–12 °C range.** Daytime highs are expected near 22–23 °C under mostly sunny skies with light winds, but the absence of cloud cover and calm conditions overnight favor temperatures dropping to around 11–13 °C in the early morning hours. Recent observations show minima consistently in this band, with no significant frontal systems or increased wind to moderate cooling. Market-implied odds heavily favor 11 °C or 12 °C because these align with the consensus forecast envelope, while lower outcomes like 10 °C remain possible only if local urban heat-island effects are weaker than modeled. Updated guidance through the day will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,199結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Forecast models from the Met Office and other sources indicate a clear, high-pressure setup over London on September 21, 2026, supporting overnight radiational cooling that should drive the daily minimum into the 11–12 °C range.** Daytime highs are expected near 22–23 °C under mostly sunny skies with light winds, but the absence of cloud cover and calm conditions overnight favor temperatures dropping to around 11–13 °C in the early morning hours. Recent observations show minima consistently in this band, with no significant frontal systems or increased wind to moderate cooling. Market-implied odds heavily favor 11 °C or 12 °C because these align with the consensus forecast envelope, while lower outcomes like 10 °C remain possible only if local urban heat-island effects are weaker than modeled. Updated guidance through the day will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions