**Mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have kept overnight temperatures elevated across London on September 14, 2026, supporting the strong market consensus around an 18°C low.** Official forecasts and station observations show minima holding near 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, limiting radiative cooling typical for mid-September. This aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn when Atlantic air masses moderate extremes. The 99.5% implied probability reflects trader assessment of Met Office and GFS model consensus, which shows little deviation expected before dawn. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing and a wind shift to northerly or easterly flow, potentially dropping readings 2–3°C lower, though current pressure patterns and humidity levels make substantial cooling unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日倫敦的最低溫度？
9月14日倫敦的最低溫度？
18°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$9,927 交易量
$9,927 交易量
2026-09-14
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或以上
否
18°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$9,927 交易量
$9,927 交易量
2026-09-14
12°C或以下
$161 交易量
否
13°C
$129 交易量
否
14°C
$88 交易量
否
15°C
$125 交易量
否
16°C
$508 交易量
否
17°C
$3,939 交易量
否
18°C
$1,996 交易量
是
19°C
$2,727 交易量
否
20°C
$93 交易量
否
21°C
$87 交易量
否
22°C或以上
$75 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have kept overnight temperatures elevated across London on September 14, 2026, supporting the strong market consensus around an 18°C low.** Official forecasts and station observations show minima holding near 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, limiting radiative cooling typical for mid-September. This aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn when Atlantic air masses moderate extremes. The 99.5% implied probability reflects trader assessment of Met Office and GFS model consensus, which shows little deviation expected before dawn. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing and a wind shift to northerly or easterly flow, potentially dropping readings 2–3°C lower, though current pressure patterns and humidity levels make substantial cooling unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$9,927結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have kept overnight temperatures elevated across London on September 14, 2026, supporting the strong market consensus around an 18°C low.** Official forecasts and station observations show minima holding near 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, limiting radiative cooling typical for mid-September. This aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn when Atlantic air masses moderate extremes. The 99.5% implied probability reflects trader assessment of Met Office and GFS model consensus, which shows little deviation expected before dawn. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing and a wind shift to northerly or easterly flow, potentially dropping readings 2–3°C lower, though current pressure patterns and humidity levels make substantial cooling unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,927結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have kept overnight temperatures elevated across London on September 14, 2026, supporting the strong market consensus around an 18°C low.** Official forecasts and station observations show minima holding near 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, limiting radiative cooling typical for mid-September. This aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn when Atlantic air masses moderate extremes. The 99.5% implied probability reflects trader assessment of Met Office and GFS model consensus, which shows little deviation expected before dawn. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing and a wind shift to northerly or easterly flow, potentially dropping readings 2–3°C lower, though current pressure patterns and humidity levels make substantial cooling unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions