Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping London's minimum temperature elevated for September 15. Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 14°C under light westerly winds, yet recent model runs and surface observations suggest the actual daily minimum may stabilize closer to 16–17°C due to urban heat retention and incomplete clearing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 17°C and 37.5% for 16°C, aligns with this uncertainty range ahead of final station verification, while lower outcomes carry minimal weight given the current thermal profile.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日倫敦的最低溫度？
9月15日倫敦的最低溫度？
17°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$6,459 交易量
$6,459 交易量
2026-09-15
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或以上
否
17°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$6,459 交易量
$6,459 交易量
2026-09-15
11°C或以下
$239 交易量
否
12°C
$131 交易量
否
13°C
$401 交易量
否
14°C
$442 交易量
否
15°C
$1,793 交易量
否
16°C
$1,029 交易量
否
17°C
$1,440 交易量
是
18°C
$510 交易量
否
19°C
$389 交易量
否
20°C
$65 交易量
否
21°C或以上
$20 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping London's minimum temperature elevated for September 15. Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 14°C under light westerly winds, yet recent model runs and surface observations suggest the actual daily minimum may stabilize closer to 16–17°C due to urban heat retention and incomplete clearing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 17°C and 37.5% for 16°C, aligns with this uncertainty range ahead of final station verification, while lower outcomes carry minimal weight given the current thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$6,459結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping London's minimum temperature elevated for September 15. Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 14°C under light westerly winds, yet recent model runs and surface observations suggest the actual daily minimum may stabilize closer to 16–17°C due to urban heat retention and incomplete clearing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 17°C and 37.5% for 16°C, aligns with this uncertainty range ahead of final station verification, while lower outcomes carry minimal weight given the current thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,459結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping London's minimum temperature elevated for September 15. Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 14°C under light westerly winds, yet recent model runs and surface observations suggest the actual daily minimum may stabilize closer to 16–17°C due to urban heat retention and incomplete clearing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 17°C and 37.5% for 16°C, aligns with this uncertainty range ahead of final station verification, while lower outcomes carry minimal weight given the current thermal profile.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions