**Trader consensus centers on 25–26°C as the most probable minimum temperature for Panama City, Panama, on August 21, reflecting the city's typical August climatology during the rainy season.** High humidity and frequent convective activity limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the long-term average of 24–25°C. Recent observations and forecasts for the date show widespread thunderstorms and cloud cover that further suppressed temperature drops, with model guidance and station data converging on a minimum around 25–26°C rather than cooler outliers. The narrow spread of high-probability outcomes (26°C at 63%, 25°C at 32%) captures this limited variability, while lower probabilities for 23°C or below align with historical rarity under similar atmospheric conditions. Updated observations and any official meteorological service verification remain the key near-term catalyst for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日巴拿馬城的最低溫度？
8月21日巴拿馬城的最低溫度？
26°C 99.5%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
$4,810 交易量
$4,810 交易量
2026-08-21
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 99.5%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
$4,810 交易量
$4,810 交易量
2026-08-21
21°C or below
$340 交易量
No
22°C
$96 交易量
No
23°C
$129 交易量
No
24°C
$295 交易量
No
25°C
$25 交易量
No
26°C
$127 交易量
Yes
27°C
$805 交易量
No
28°C
$682 交易量
No
29°C
$500 交易量
No
30°C
$415 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$1,396 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 25–26°C as the most probable minimum temperature for Panama City, Panama, on August 21, reflecting the city's typical August climatology during the rainy season.** High humidity and frequent convective activity limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the long-term average of 24–25°C. Recent observations and forecasts for the date show widespread thunderstorms and cloud cover that further suppressed temperature drops, with model guidance and station data converging on a minimum around 25–26°C rather than cooler outliers. The narrow spread of high-probability outcomes (26°C at 63%, 25°C at 32%) captures this limited variability, while lower probabilities for 23°C or below align with historical rarity under similar atmospheric conditions. Updated observations and any official meteorological service verification remain the key near-term catalyst for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
交易量
$4,810結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 25–26°C as the most probable minimum temperature for Panama City, Panama, on August 21, reflecting the city's typical August climatology during the rainy season.** High humidity and frequent convective activity limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the long-term average of 24–25°C. Recent observations and forecasts for the date show widespread thunderstorms and cloud cover that further suppressed temperature drops, with model guidance and station data converging on a minimum around 25–26°C rather than cooler outliers. The narrow spread of high-probability outcomes (26°C at 63%, 25°C at 32%) captures this limited variability, while lower probabilities for 23°C or below align with historical rarity under similar atmospheric conditions. Updated observations and any official meteorological service verification remain the key near-term catalyst for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,810結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus centers on 25–26°C as the most probable minimum temperature for Panama City, Panama, on August 21, reflecting the city's typical August climatology during the rainy season.** High humidity and frequent convective activity limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the long-term average of 24–25°C. Recent observations and forecasts for the date show widespread thunderstorms and cloud cover that further suppressed temperature drops, with model guidance and station data converging on a minimum around 25–26°C rather than cooler outliers. The narrow spread of high-probability outcomes (26°C at 63%, 25°C at 32%) captures this limited variability, while lower probabilities for 23°C or below align with historical rarity under similar atmospheric conditions. Updated observations and any official meteorological service verification remain the key near-term catalyst for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions