Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Shenzhen on September 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, light variable winds, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon regime. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when daily lows typically range 24-27°C amid stable steering patterns. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 26°C reflects the narrow uncertainty band in current model runs. A realistic shift lower would require rapid clearing and stronger nocturnal cooling or an unforecast cold surge, though neither appears probable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日深圳最低溫度？
9月15日深圳最低溫度？
26°C 100.0%
21°C 20%
22°C 20%
23°C 16%
$1,163 交易量
$1,163 交易量
2026-09-15
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
21°C 20%
22°C 20%
23°C 16%
$1,163 交易量
$1,163 交易量
2026-09-15
20°C或以下
$10 交易量
否
21°C
$10 交易量
否
22°C
$100 交易量
否
23°C
$128 交易量
否
24°C
$168 交易量
否
25°C
$165 交易量
否
26°C
$110 交易量
是
27°C
$244 交易量
否
28°C
$154 交易量
否
29°C
$42 交易量
否
30°C或以上
$32 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Shenzhen on September 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, light variable winds, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon regime. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when daily lows typically range 24-27°C amid stable steering patterns. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 26°C reflects the narrow uncertainty band in current model runs. A realistic shift lower would require rapid clearing and stronger nocturnal cooling or an unforecast cold surge, though neither appears probable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
交易量
$1,163結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Shenzhen on September 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, light variable winds, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon regime. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when daily lows typically range 24-27°C amid stable steering patterns. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 26°C reflects the narrow uncertainty band in current model runs. A realistic shift lower would require rapid clearing and stronger nocturnal cooling or an unforecast cold surge, though neither appears probable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,163結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Shenzhen on September 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, light variable winds, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon regime. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when daily lows typically range 24-27°C amid stable steering patterns. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 26°C reflects the narrow uncertainty band in current model runs. A realistic shift lower would require rapid clearing and stronger nocturnal cooling or an unforecast cold surge, though neither appears probable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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