Current forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore and international models indicate overnight lows for Singapore on August 29 will hold near 27–28 °C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with warm, humid air and only localized thundery showers. This narrow diurnal range is typical for the equatorial climate, where August average minimum temperatures are 25.3 °C but recent nights have remained above 27 °C. The 97 % market-implied probability on 28 °C therefore reflects strong consensus across official guidance and the historical rarity of sub-26 °C readings in late August. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler air or unusually persistent heavy rain that suppresses radiative cooling, though model runs show little divergence on this short time scale.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡8月29日的最低溫度?
28°C 97.0%
27°C 3%
26°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
$1,683 交易量
$1,683 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 97.0%
27°C 3%
26°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
$1,683 交易量
$1,683 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore and international models indicate overnight lows for Singapore on August 29 will hold near 27–28 °C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with warm, humid air and only localized thundery showers. This narrow diurnal range is typical for the equatorial climate, where August average minimum temperatures are 25.3 °C but recent nights have remained above 27 °C. The 97 % market-implied probability on 28 °C therefore reflects strong consensus across official guidance and the historical rarity of sub-26 °C readings in late August. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler air or unusually persistent heavy rain that suppresses radiative cooling, though model runs show little divergence on this short time scale.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions