Current forecast models from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Taipei on September 13, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity above 80%, and minimal overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. This aligns with recent observations showing nighttime lows holding in the mid-20s amid above-average warmth for mid-September. Historical September minima average 24–25°C, yet persistent southerly flow and lack of frontal systems or typhoon influences have supported the higher consensus. Trader positioning at 99.5% for 26°C reflects this model agreement, though a stronger-than-expected rain event or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically shift the recorded low downward.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日臺北最低氣溫?
26°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$1,125 交易量
$1,125 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$1,125 交易量
$1,125 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecast models from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Taipei on September 13, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity above 80%, and minimal overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. This aligns with recent observations showing nighttime lows holding in the mid-20s amid above-average warmth for mid-September. Historical September minima average 24–25°C, yet persistent southerly flow and lack of frontal systems or typhoon influences have supported the higher consensus. Trader positioning at 99.5% for 26°C reflects this model agreement, though a stronger-than-expected rain event or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically shift the recorded low downward.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions