Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models show persistent cloud cover and rain over Tokyo on September 19 driven by Tropical Storm Dujuan tracking northward, with expected minimum temperatures clustered near 19–22°C amid above-normal seasonal rainfall. This setup creates competing effects: extensive cloudiness reduces nighttime radiative cooling and supports milder lows, while northerly flow and heavy precipitation could advect cooler air or enhance evaporative cooling. The near-even market split between 16°C or below and 26°C or higher reflects model divergence on exact storm timing, intensity, and any post-frontal clearing that might allow greater diurnal temperature swings. Historical September minima average near 19°C, underscoring how the current anomalous moisture and circulation patterns heighten uncertainty for traders ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日東京最低溫度？
9月19日東京最低溫度？
22°C 45%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
19°C 33%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
16°C或以下
2%
17°C
11%
18°C
19%
19°C
33%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
41%
23°C
11%
24°C
7%
25°C
5%
26°C或以上
5%
22°C 45%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
19°C 33%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
17°C
$0 交易量
11%
18°C
$0 交易量
19%
19°C
$0 交易量
33%
20°C
$0 交易量
40%
21°C
$0 交易量
40%
22°C
$209 交易量
41%
23°C
$0 交易量
11%
24°C
$0 交易量
7%
25°C
$0 交易量
5%
26°C或以上
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models show persistent cloud cover and rain over Tokyo on September 19 driven by Tropical Storm Dujuan tracking northward, with expected minimum temperatures clustered near 19–22°C amid above-normal seasonal rainfall. This setup creates competing effects: extensive cloudiness reduces nighttime radiative cooling and supports milder lows, while northerly flow and heavy precipitation could advect cooler air or enhance evaporative cooling. The near-even market split between 16°C or below and 26°C or higher reflects model divergence on exact storm timing, intensity, and any post-frontal clearing that might allow greater diurnal temperature swings. Historical September minima average near 19°C, underscoring how the current anomalous moisture and circulation patterns heighten uncertainty for traders ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$209結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models show persistent cloud cover and rain over Tokyo on September 19 driven by Tropical Storm Dujuan tracking northward, with expected minimum temperatures clustered near 19–22°C amid above-normal seasonal rainfall. This setup creates competing effects: extensive cloudiness reduces nighttime radiative cooling and supports milder lows, while northerly flow and heavy precipitation could advect cooler air or enhance evaporative cooling. The near-even market split between 16°C or below and 26°C or higher reflects model divergence on exact storm timing, intensity, and any post-frontal clearing that might allow greater diurnal temperature swings. Historical September minima average near 19°C, underscoring how the current anomalous moisture and circulation patterns heighten uncertainty for traders ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$209結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models show persistent cloud cover and rain over Tokyo on September 19 driven by Tropical Storm Dujuan tracking northward, with expected minimum temperatures clustered near 19–22°C amid above-normal seasonal rainfall. This setup creates competing effects: extensive cloudiness reduces nighttime radiative cooling and supports milder lows, while northerly flow and heavy precipitation could advect cooler air or enhance evaporative cooling. The near-even market split between 16°C or below and 26°C or higher reflects model divergence on exact storm timing, intensity, and any post-frontal clearing that might allow greater diurnal temperature swings. Historical September minima average near 19°C, underscoring how the current anomalous moisture and circulation patterns heighten uncertainty for traders ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions