**Trader consensus strongly favors 17°C as Zhengzhou’s daily minimum on September 5, reflected in the 86.3% implied probability for that outcome.** Clear skies and light winds promoted strong nocturnal radiative cooling, with official forecasts from regional meteorological services indicating overnight lows near 17–19°C amid stable high-pressure conditions typical for early September. Recent model runs showed minimal cloud cover and modest northerly flow limiting warm advection, aligning with historical September minima around 18–21°C while accounting for interannual variability in the North China Plain. Lower-probability outcomes such as 16°C or 15°C or below remain marginal at under 50% and 1%, respectively, given the absence of significant frontal systems or enhanced cooling. Upcoming official station reports from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the definitive measurement for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日鄭州最低氣溫？
9月5日鄭州最低氣溫？
17°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$5,197 交易量
$5,197 交易量
2026-09-05
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
17°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$5,197 交易量
$5,197 交易量
2026-09-05
15°C或以下
$202 交易量
否
16°C
$72 交易量
否
17°C
$2,930 交易量
是
18°C
$243 交易量
否
19°C
$275 交易量
否
20°C
$1,175 交易量
否
21°C
$60 交易量
否
22°C
$60 交易量
否
23°C
$60 交易量
否
24°C
$60 交易量
否
25°C或以上
$60 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 17°C as Zhengzhou’s daily minimum on September 5, reflected in the 86.3% implied probability for that outcome.** Clear skies and light winds promoted strong nocturnal radiative cooling, with official forecasts from regional meteorological services indicating overnight lows near 17–19°C amid stable high-pressure conditions typical for early September. Recent model runs showed minimal cloud cover and modest northerly flow limiting warm advection, aligning with historical September minima around 18–21°C while accounting for interannual variability in the North China Plain. Lower-probability outcomes such as 16°C or 15°C or below remain marginal at under 50% and 1%, respectively, given the absence of significant frontal systems or enhanced cooling. Upcoming official station reports from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the definitive measurement for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$5,197結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 17°C as Zhengzhou’s daily minimum on September 5, reflected in the 86.3% implied probability for that outcome.** Clear skies and light winds promoted strong nocturnal radiative cooling, with official forecasts from regional meteorological services indicating overnight lows near 17–19°C amid stable high-pressure conditions typical for early September. Recent model runs showed minimal cloud cover and modest northerly flow limiting warm advection, aligning with historical September minima around 18–21°C while accounting for interannual variability in the North China Plain. Lower-probability outcomes such as 16°C or 15°C or below remain marginal at under 50% and 1%, respectively, given the absence of significant frontal systems or enhanced cooling. Upcoming official station reports from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the definitive measurement for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,197結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus strongly favors 17°C as Zhengzhou’s daily minimum on September 5, reflected in the 86.3% implied probability for that outcome.** Clear skies and light winds promoted strong nocturnal radiative cooling, with official forecasts from regional meteorological services indicating overnight lows near 17–19°C amid stable high-pressure conditions typical for early September. Recent model runs showed minimal cloud cover and modest northerly flow limiting warm advection, aligning with historical September minima around 18–21°C while accounting for interannual variability in the North China Plain. Lower-probability outcomes such as 16°C or 15°C or below remain marginal at under 50% and 1%, respectively, given the absence of significant frontal systems or enhanced cooling. Upcoming official station reports from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the definitive measurement for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions