Andy Burnham holds the strongest position in the Makerfield by-election as Greater Manchester mayor with deep local recognition and Labour Party approval to contest the seat after incumbent Josh Simons stepped aside. Recent local election gains by Reform UK have boosted Robert Kenyon’s profile in a constituency where the party placed second in 2024, yet Burnham’s established brand and cross-party appeal sustain his lead in trader assessments. Labour’s internal selection process, scheduled for later this month ahead of the June contest, and ongoing national leadership pressures further shape expectations around the outcome. Minor candidates from other parties remain marginal given the focus on these two frontrunners.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Andy Burnham 64%
Robert Kenyon 27%
James Thomas Bryer 1.1%
Maria Deery <1%
$30,461 交易量
$30,461 交易量
Andy Burnham
64%
Robert Kenyon
27%
James Thomas Bryer
1%
Maria Deery
1%
John Skipworth
1%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Andy Burnham 64%
Robert Kenyon 27%
James Thomas Bryer 1.1%
Maria Deery <1%
$30,461 交易量
$30,461 交易量
Andy Burnham
64%
Robert Kenyon
27%
James Thomas Bryer
1%
Maria Deery
1%
John Skipworth
1%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
市場開放時間: May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Andy Burnham holds the strongest position in the Makerfield by-election as Greater Manchester mayor with deep local recognition and Labour Party approval to contest the seat after incumbent Josh Simons stepped aside. Recent local election gains by Reform UK have boosted Robert Kenyon’s profile in a constituency where the party placed second in 2024, yet Burnham’s established brand and cross-party appeal sustain his lead in trader assessments. Labour’s internal selection process, scheduled for later this month ahead of the June contest, and ongoing national leadership pressures further shape expectations around the outcome. Minor candidates from other parties remain marginal given the focus on these two frontrunners.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions