Weverton Rocha holds a slim lead in trader pricing for second place in Maranhão's 2026 Senate race, reflecting his status as an incumbent PDT senator seeking re-election amid a crowded field of 11 candidates. Recent August polls, including IPPI and Véritas surveys, show Roseana Sarney (MDB) ahead for the top spot while the battle for the second vacancy remains fragmented, with Rocha, André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), and Eliziane Gama (PT) clustered in technical ties on first- and second-choice metrics. Candidate registration closed in mid-August, formalizing the lineup after Sarney's July pre-candidacy announcement and shifts in alliances. The balanced probabilities stem from Maranhão's regional dynamics, variable turnout patterns, and competing federal alignments, leaving room for late campaign events or coalition adjustments to reorder the lower rankings before October voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Weverton Rocha 47%
Roseana Sarney 20%
Enilton Rodrigues 13.2%
Fufuca 10%

Weverton Rocha
50%

Roseana Sarney
20%

Enilton Rodrigues
13%

Fufuca
10%

Lahesio Bonfim
5%

Eliziane Gama
5%

Raimundo Moreira
5%

Wilson Leite
5%

Simplício Araújo
1%

Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Weverton Rocha 47%
Roseana Sarney 20%
Enilton Rodrigues 13.2%
Fufuca 10%

Weverton Rocha
50%

Roseana Sarney
20%

Enilton Rodrigues
13%

Fufuca
10%

Lahesio Bonfim
5%

Eliziane Gama
5%

Raimundo Moreira
5%

Wilson Leite
5%

Simplício Araújo
1%

Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Weverton Rocha holds a slim lead in trader pricing for second place in Maranhão's 2026 Senate race, reflecting his status as an incumbent PDT senator seeking re-election amid a crowded field of 11 candidates. Recent August polls, including IPPI and Véritas surveys, show Roseana Sarney (MDB) ahead for the top spot while the battle for the second vacancy remains fragmented, with Rocha, André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), and Eliziane Gama (PT) clustered in technical ties on first- and second-choice metrics. Candidate registration closed in mid-August, formalizing the lineup after Sarney's July pre-candidacy announcement and shifts in alliances. The balanced probabilities stem from Maranhão's regional dynamics, variable turnout patterns, and competing federal alignments, leaving room for late campaign events or coalition adjustments to reorder the lower rankings before October voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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