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icon for 馬拉尼昂參議院選舉:第二名

馬拉尼昂參議院選舉:第二名

icon for 馬拉尼昂參議院選舉:第二名

馬拉尼昂參議院選舉:第二名

Weverton Rocha 47%

Roseana Sarney 20%

Enilton Rodrigues 13.2%

Fufuca 10%

Polymarket
最新

Weverton Rocha 47%

Roseana Sarney 20%

Enilton Rodrigues 13.2%

Fufuca 10%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Weverton Rocha

Weverton Rocha

$2,573 交易量

50%

icon for Roseana Sarney

Roseana Sarney

$971 交易量

20%

icon for Enilton Rodrigues

Enilton Rodrigues

$171 交易量

13%

icon for Fufuca

Fufuca

$298 交易量

10%

icon for Lahesio Bonfim

Lahesio Bonfim

$183 交易量

5%

icon for Eliziane Gama

Eliziane Gama

$284 交易量

5%

icon for Raimundo Moreira

Raimundo Moreira

$191 交易量

5%

icon for Wilson Leite

Wilson Leite

$171 交易量

5%

icon for Simplício Araújo

Simplício Araújo

$211 交易量

1%

icon for Cidônio Gonçalves

Cidônio Gonçalves

$171 交易量

<1%

icon for Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

$151 交易量

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Weverton Rocha holds a slim lead in trader pricing for second place in Maranhão's 2026 Senate race, reflecting his status as an incumbent PDT senator seeking re-election amid a crowded field of 11 candidates. Recent August polls, including IPPI and Véritas surveys, show Roseana Sarney (MDB) ahead for the top spot while the battle for the second vacancy remains fragmented, with Rocha, André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), and Eliziane Gama (PT) clustered in technical ties on first- and second-choice metrics. Candidate registration closed in mid-August, formalizing the lineup after Sarney's July pre-candidacy announcement and shifts in alliances. The balanced probabilities stem from Maranhão's regional dynamics, variable turnout patterns, and competing federal alignments, leaving room for late campaign events or coalition adjustments to reorder the lower rankings before October voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$5,375
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Weverton Rocha holds a slim lead in trader pricing for second place in Maranhão's 2026 Senate race, reflecting his status as an incumbent PDT senator seeking re-election amid a crowded field of 11 candidates. Recent August polls, including IPPI and Véritas surveys, show Roseana Sarney (MDB) ahead for the top spot while the battle for the second vacancy remains fragmented, with Rocha, André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), and Eliziane Gama (PT) clustered in technical ties on first- and second-choice metrics. Candidate registration closed in mid-August, formalizing the lineup after Sarney's July pre-candidacy announcement and shifts in alliances. The balanced probabilities stem from Maranhão's regional dynamics, variable turnout patterns, and competing federal alignments, leaving room for late campaign events or coalition adjustments to reorder the lower rankings before October voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$5,375
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"馬拉尼昂參議院選舉:第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Weverton Rocha" at 50%, followed by "Roseana Sarney" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"馬拉尼昂參議院選舉:第二名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "馬拉尼昂參議院選舉:第二名," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "馬拉尼昂參議院選舉:第二名" is "Weverton Rocha" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Roseana Sarney" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "馬拉尼昂參議院選舉:第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.