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icon for 2026年美國麻疹病例?

2026年美國麻疹病例?

icon for 2026年美國麻疹病例?

2026年美國麻疹病例?

Polymarket

$7,968,374 交易量

Polymarket

$7,968,374 交易量

↑3.5千

$15,824 交易量

100%

↑4k

$241,336 交易量

100%

↑4.5k

$4,353 交易量

87%

↑4.5k

$64,000 交易量

82%

↑5k

$243,324 交易量

67%

↑7.5k

$195,923 交易量

14%

↑10k

$6,526,457 交易量

8%

↑12.5k

$357,202 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.As of mid-September 2026, the CDC has confirmed 3,471 measles cases nationwide, already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289 and marking the highest annual count since 1991. Sustained transmission stems primarily from large, ongoing outbreaks in Pennsylvania (over 700 cases), South Carolina, Utah, and several other states, with 95% of cases occurring in unvaccinated or unknown-status individuals and 95% linked to outbreaks. Most infections are locally acquired rather than imported, reflecting community-level immunity gaps amid declining MMR vaccination rates. Hospitalizations stand at about 9%, and while Pennsylvania has reported four measles-associated deaths, CDC national tallies show zero for 2026 pending standardized review. Weekly CDC surveillance updates and state reporting will continue to shape the final 2026 total through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
交易量
$7,968,374
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Feb 16, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.As of mid-September 2026, the CDC has confirmed 3,471 measles cases nationwide, already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289 and marking the highest annual count since 1991. Sustained transmission stems primarily from large, ongoing outbreaks in Pennsylvania (over 700 cases), South Carolina, Utah, and several other states, with 95% of cases occurring in unvaccinated or unknown-status individuals and 95% linked to outbreaks. Most infections are locally acquired rather than imported, reflecting community-level immunity gaps amid declining MMR vaccination rates. Hospitalizations stand at about 9%, and while Pennsylvania has reported four measles-associated deaths, CDC national tallies show zero for 2026 pending standardized review. Weekly CDC surveillance updates and state reporting will continue to shape the final 2026 total through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
交易量
$7,968,374
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Feb 16, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年美國麻疹病例?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑3.5千" at 100%, followed by "↑4k" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年美國麻疹病例?" has generated $8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年美國麻疹病例?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年美國麻疹病例?" is "↑3.5千" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑4k" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年美國麻疹病例?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.