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選舉·主要

MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者
選舉·主要

MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者

傑瑞米·莫斯 91%

艾莎·法魯奇 4.3%

安迪·萊文 4.0%

Don Ufford 3.3%

Polymarket

$16,795 交易量

傑瑞米·莫斯 91%

艾莎·法魯奇 4.3%

安迪·萊文 4.0%

Don Ufford 3.3%

Polymarket

$16,795 交易量

傑瑞米·莫斯

$7,186 交易量

91%

艾莎·法魯奇

$5,586 交易量

4%

安迪·萊文

$3,665 交易量

4%

Don Ufford

$89 交易量

3%

戴夫·伍德沃德

$270 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in the Michigan 11th Congressional District Democratic primary, reflecting his structural advantages in fundraising and institutional support ahead of the August 4 contest. As state senate president pro tempore, Moss has raised over one million dollars with a substantial cash-on-hand edge, secured endorsements from Governor Gretchen Whitmer and other top Michigan Democrats, and benefits from strong name recognition in Oakland County. The fragmented field, including Aisha Farooqi, Andy Levin, Dave Woodward, and Don Ufford, has not consolidated behind a single alternative, limiting any coordinated challenge. Late developments such as unexpected endorsements, a major polling shift, or a late surge in turnout among specific voter blocs could narrow the margin, though the current trader consensus assigns Moss an overwhelming probability of securing the nomination.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$16,795
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in the Michigan 11th Congressional District Democratic primary, reflecting his structural advantages in fundraising and institutional support ahead of the August 4 contest. As state senate president pro tempore, Moss has raised over one million dollars with a substantial cash-on-hand edge, secured endorsements from Governor Gretchen Whitmer and other top Michigan Democrats, and benefits from strong name recognition in Oakland County. The fragmented field, including Aisha Farooqi, Andy Levin, Dave Woodward, and Don Ufford, has not consolidated behind a single alternative, limiting any coordinated challenge. Late developments such as unexpected endorsements, a major polling shift, or a late surge in turnout among specific voter blocs could narrow the margin, though the current trader consensus assigns Moss an overwhelming probability of securing the nomination.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$16,795
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "傑瑞米·莫斯" at 91%, followed by "艾莎·法魯奇" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $16.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者" is "傑瑞米·莫斯" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "艾莎·法魯奇" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.