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icon for Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

John James 84%

Perry Johnson 10%

Mike Cox 5.1%

Aric Nesbitt <1%

Polymarket

$46,039 交易量

John James 84%

Perry Johnson 10%

Mike Cox 5.1%

Aric Nesbitt <1%

Polymarket

$46,039 交易量

John James

$14,446 交易量

84%

Perry Johnson

$13,409 交易量

10%

Mike Cox

$5,561 交易量

5%

Aric Nesbitt

$2,313 交易量

<1%

Anthony Hudson

$1,770 交易量

<1%

Tom Leonard

$1,746 交易量

<1%

William Null

$1,284 交易量

<1%

Karla Wagner

$1,512 交易量

<1%

Evan Space

$1,337 交易量

<1%

Joyce Gipson

$1,157 交易量

<1%

Ralph Rebandt

$1,503 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**John James leads the Michigan Republican primary market at 61% due to his incumbency as a U.S. representative, prior statewide Senate campaigns, and established donor networks that provide organizational advantages heading into the August 4 primary.** A June 16 Mitchell Research poll showed James at 28%, former Attorney General Mike Cox at 27%, and businessman Perry Johnson at 23% among likely GOP voters, marking a statistical dead heat after earlier surveys favored James more clearly. This tightening race, fueled by negative ads targeting James’s record and competition for conservative voter blocs, supports Cox’s 21.5% and Johnson’s 17.5% market shares. Lower-polling candidates such as Senate Minority Leader Aric Nesbitt trail significantly, consistent with their minimal market prices.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$46,039
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**John James leads the Michigan Republican primary market at 61% due to his incumbency as a U.S. representative, prior statewide Senate campaigns, and established donor networks that provide organizational advantages heading into the August 4 primary.** A June 16 Mitchell Research poll showed James at 28%, former Attorney General Mike Cox at 27%, and businessman Perry Johnson at 23% among likely GOP voters, marking a statistical dead heat after earlier surveys favored James more clearly. This tightening race, fueled by negative ads targeting James’s record and competition for conservative voter blocs, supports Cox’s 21.5% and Johnson’s 17.5% market shares. Lower-polling candidates such as Senate Minority Leader Aric Nesbitt trail significantly, consistent with their minimal market prices.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$46,039
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "John James" at 84%, followed by "Perry Johnson" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $46K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "John James" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Perry Johnson" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.