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icon for 米格爾·迪亞斯-卡內爾在6月30日前就任古巴總統？
政治·古巴

米格爾·迪亞斯-卡內爾在6月30日前就任古巴總統？

icon for 米格爾·迪亞斯-卡內爾在6月30日前就任古巴總統？
政治·古巴

米格爾·迪亞斯-卡內爾在6月30日前就任古巴總統？

是

22% 機率
Polymarket

$248,048 交易量

是

22% 機率
Polymarket

$248,048 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel has repeatedly affirmed his intention to remain in office, stating in April interviews that stepping down forms no part of the revolutionary vocabulary amid U.S. diplomatic pressure. He has delivered public addresses reinforcing national sovereignty and resistance during events marking the 65th anniversary of the socialist revolution, with no reported internal challenges or succession signals emerging from the Communist Party of Cuba. These developments, occurring against ongoing economic strains and external tensions, have shaped trader consensus around sustained leadership continuity. No verified shifts in party structures or official announcements have altered this outlook in recent weeks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$248,048
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Nov 18, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel has repeatedly affirmed his intention to remain in office, stating in April interviews that stepping down forms no part of the revolutionary vocabulary amid U.S. diplomatic pressure. He has delivered public addresses reinforcing national sovereignty and resistance during events marking the 65th anniversary of the socialist revolution, with no reported internal challenges or succession signals emerging from the Communist Party of Cuba. These developments, occurring against ongoing economic strains and external tensions, have shaped trader consensus around sustained leadership continuity. No verified shifts in party structures or official announcements have altered this outlook in recent weeks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$248,048
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Nov 18, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"米格爾·迪亞斯-卡內爾在6月30日前就任古巴總統？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "米格爾·迪亞斯-卡內爾會在6月30日前卸任古巴總統嗎？" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "米格爾·迪亞斯-卡內爾在6月30日前就任古巴總統？" has generated $248K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "米格爾·迪亞斯-卡內爾在6月30日前就任古巴總統？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "米格爾·迪亞斯-卡內爾在6月30日前就任古巴總統？" is "米格爾·迪亞斯-卡內爾會在6月30日前卸任古巴總統嗎？" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "米格爾·迪亞斯-卡內爾在6月30日前就任古巴總統？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.