House Speaker Mike Johnson’s position remains precarious due to the Republican Party’s narrow majority in the chamber, which limits his ability to pass legislation without risking defections from hardline members. Ongoing internal divisions have complicated efforts to advance key bills, including recent measures tied to government funding and homeland security, prompting Johnson to balance competing factions within his caucus. Rules changes adopted at the start of the 119th Congress raised the threshold for a motion to vacate, providing some procedural protection, yet attendance challenges from members focused on the 2026 midterms further constrain reliable vote margins. Traders in the prediction market weigh these structural pressures against the possibility of a leadership change before year-end if legislative gridlock intensifies or midterm results alter the House balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$101,656 交易量
2026-12-31
2026 年 6 月 30 日
3%
2026年12月31日
33%
$101,656 交易量
2026 年 6 月 30 日
$5,601 交易量
3%
2026年12月31日
$2,719 交易量
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.House Speaker Mike Johnson’s position remains precarious due to the Republican Party’s narrow majority in the chamber, which limits his ability to pass legislation without risking defections from hardline members. Ongoing internal divisions have complicated efforts to advance key bills, including recent measures tied to government funding and homeland security, prompting Johnson to balance competing factions within his caucus. Rules changes adopted at the start of the 119th Congress raised the threshold for a motion to vacate, providing some procedural protection, yet attendance challenges from members focused on the 2026 midterms further constrain reliable vote margins. Traders in the prediction market weigh these structural pressures against the possibility of a leadership change before year-end if legislative gridlock intensifies or midterm results alter the House balance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間： Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ET
交易量
$101,656結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.House Speaker Mike Johnson’s position remains precarious due to the Republican Party’s narrow majority in the chamber, which limits his ability to pass legislation without risking defections from hardline members. Ongoing internal divisions have complicated efforts to advance key bills, including recent measures tied to government funding and homeland security, prompting Johnson to balance competing factions within his caucus. Rules changes adopted at the start of the 119th Congress raised the threshold for a motion to vacate, providing some procedural protection, yet attendance challenges from members focused on the 2026 midterms further constrain reliable vote margins. Traders in the prediction market weigh these structural pressures against the possibility of a leadership change before year-end if legislative gridlock intensifies or midterm results alter the House balance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$101,656結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...House Speaker Mike Johnson’s position remains precarious due to the Republican Party’s narrow majority in the chamber, which limits his ability to pass legislation without risking defections from hardline members. Ongoing internal divisions have complicated efforts to advance key bills, including recent measures tied to government funding and homeland security, prompting Johnson to balance competing factions within his caucus. Rules changes adopted at the start of the 119th Congress raised the threshold for a motion to vacate, providing some procedural protection, yet attendance challenges from members focused on the 2026 midterms further constrain reliable vote margins. Traders in the prediction market weigh these structural pressures against the possibility of a leadership change before year-end if legislative gridlock intensifies or midterm results alter the House balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions