Trump remains firmly in office as the 47th president with no scheduled constitutional processes or public indications pointing to an exit before September 30. The most recent development, a September 15 House vote tabling an impeachment resolution by 232-147, underscored the lack of immediate legislative momentum even among opponents. Republican majorities in both chambers make removal via impeachment or conviction impossible on this timeline, while resignation lacks any supporting statements or reported pressure from party leaders. Traders assign 99.4% probability to “No” because the compressed window leaves no realistic path for the 25th Amendment, Senate trial, or voluntary departure absent an unforeseen acute event such as sudden incapacity. Midterm elections in November fall well outside the resolution period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
<1% 機率
$1,028,663 交易量
$1,028,663 交易量
2026-09-30
是
<1% 機率
$1,028,663 交易量
$1,028,663 交易量
2026-09-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains firmly in office as the 47th president with no scheduled constitutional processes or public indications pointing to an exit before September 30. The most recent development, a September 15 House vote tabling an impeachment resolution by 232-147, underscored the lack of immediate legislative momentum even among opponents. Republican majorities in both chambers make removal via impeachment or conviction impossible on this timeline, while resignation lacks any supporting statements or reported pressure from party leaders. Traders assign 99.4% probability to “No” because the compressed window leaves no realistic path for the 25th Amendment, Senate trial, or voluntary departure absent an unforeseen acute event such as sudden incapacity. Midterm elections in November fall well outside the resolution period.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
交易量
$1,028,663結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains firmly in office as the 47th president with no scheduled constitutional processes or public indications pointing to an exit before September 30. The most recent development, a September 15 House vote tabling an impeachment resolution by 232-147, underscored the lack of immediate legislative momentum even among opponents. Republican majorities in both chambers make removal via impeachment or conviction impossible on this timeline, while resignation lacks any supporting statements or reported pressure from party leaders. Traders assign 99.4% probability to “No” because the compressed window leaves no realistic path for the 25th Amendment, Senate trial, or voluntary departure absent an unforeseen acute event such as sudden incapacity. Midterm elections in November fall well outside the resolution period.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,028,663結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETTrump remains firmly in office as the 47th president with no scheduled constitutional processes or public indications pointing to an exit before September 30. The most recent development, a September 15 House vote tabling an impeachment resolution by 232-147, underscored the lack of immediate legislative momentum even among opponents. Republican majorities in both chambers make removal via impeachment or conviction impossible on this timeline, while resignation lacks any supporting statements or reported pressure from party leaders. Traders assign 99.4% probability to “No” because the compressed window leaves no realistic path for the 25th Amendment, Senate trial, or voluntary departure absent an unforeseen acute event such as sudden incapacity. Midterm elections in November fall well outside the resolution period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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