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icon for 特朗普會原諒任何人嗎… ?

特朗普會原諒任何人嗎… ?

icon for 特朗普會原諒任何人嗎… ?

特朗普會原諒任何人嗎… ?

最新
2026-09-30
Polymarket

$2,900 交易量

Polymarket

9月30日

$1,345 交易量

8%

12月31日

$1,555 交易量

83%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second-term clemency record shows consistent issuance of federal pardons and commutations since January 2025, including a mass grant for January 6 cases on inauguration day and subsequent batches covering drug offenses, fraud, political allies, and other convictions. The most recent action granted clemency to 30 individuals on September 3, 2026, with details emerging days later through the Department of Justice and Pardon Czar Alice Johnson. These grants have often bypassed traditional Office of the Pardon Attorney review, relying instead on direct White House channels, influencers, and advocates. With activity continuing into September 2026 ahead of the November midterms, traders assess near-term probabilities based on the established cadence of announcements and any scheduled reviews or lobbying efforts that could prompt additional actions before key dates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$2,900
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second-term clemency record shows consistent issuance of federal pardons and commutations since January 2025, including a mass grant for January 6 cases on inauguration day and subsequent batches covering drug offenses, fraud, political allies, and other convictions. The most recent action granted clemency to 30 individuals on September 3, 2026, with details emerging days later through the Department of Justice and Pardon Czar Alice Johnson. These grants have often bypassed traditional Office of the Pardon Attorney review, relying instead on direct White House channels, influencers, and advocates. With activity continuing into September 2026 ahead of the November midterms, traders assess near-term probabilities based on the established cadence of announcements and any scheduled reviews or lobbying efforts that could prompt additional actions before key dates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$2,900
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普會原諒任何人嗎… ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 83%, followed by "9月30日" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"特朗普會原諒任何人嗎… ?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "特朗普會原諒任何人嗎… ?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普會原諒任何人嗎… ?" is "12月31日" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "9月30日" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普會原諒任何人嗎… ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.