Trump’s second-term clemency record shows consistent issuance of federal pardons and commutations since January 2025, including a mass grant for January 6 cases on inauguration day and subsequent batches covering drug offenses, fraud, political allies, and other convictions. The most recent action granted clemency to 30 individuals on September 3, 2026, with details emerging days later through the Department of Justice and Pardon Czar Alice Johnson. These grants have often bypassed traditional Office of the Pardon Attorney review, relying instead on direct White House channels, influencers, and advocates. With activity continuing into September 2026 ahead of the November midterms, traders assess near-term probabilities based on the established cadence of announcements and any scheduled reviews or lobbying efforts that could prompt additional actions before key dates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月30日
8%
12月31日
83%
$2,900 交易量
9月30日
8%
12月31日
83%
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Sep 14, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trump’s second-term clemency record shows consistent issuance of federal pardons and commutations since January 2025, including a mass grant for January 6 cases on inauguration day and subsequent batches covering drug offenses, fraud, political allies, and other convictions. The most recent action granted clemency to 30 individuals on September 3, 2026, with details emerging days later through the Department of Justice and Pardon Czar Alice Johnson. These grants have often bypassed traditional Office of the Pardon Attorney review, relying instead on direct White House channels, influencers, and advocates. With activity continuing into September 2026 ahead of the November midterms, traders assess near-term probabilities based on the established cadence of announcements and any scheduled reviews or lobbying efforts that could prompt additional actions before key dates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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