Moonshot AI's rapid iteration on its Kimi series, highlighted by the September 11, 2026 launch of the K2.8 preview model with performance nearing K3 levels in coding and agentic tasks, drives current trader sentiment on the next K model release. K3 itself debuted July 16 as a 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE with a 1M-token context window, open weights, and strong benchmarks that narrowed the gap to U.S. frontier models like Claude and GPT variants while undercutting their costs. Recent app updates, API pricing at $3/$15 per million tokens for K3, and enterprise partnership programs underscore Moonshot's momentum, though accusations of model distillation from Anthropic and custom licensing requirements add regulatory and competitive friction. Traders watch for the next major capability jump or rival open-weight response ahead of Moonshot's IPO plans.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$27,225 交易量
2026-08-31
2026年8月31日
否
2026年9月15日
是
2026年9月30日
是
2026年12月31日
是
$27,225 交易量
2026年8月31日
$1,927 交易量
否
2026年9月15日
$6,277 交易量
是
2026年9月30日
$13,933 交易量
是
2026年12月31日
$5,088 交易量
是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's rapid iteration on its Kimi series, highlighted by the September 11, 2026 launch of the K2.8 preview model with performance nearing K3 levels in coding and agentic tasks, drives current trader sentiment on the next K model release. K3 itself debuted July 16 as a 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE with a 1M-token context window, open weights, and strong benchmarks that narrowed the gap to U.S. frontier models like Claude and GPT variants while undercutting their costs. Recent app updates, API pricing at $3/$15 per million tokens for K3, and enterprise partnership programs underscore Moonshot's momentum, though accusations of model distillation from Anthropic and custom licensing requirements add regulatory and competitive friction. Traders watch for the next major capability jump or rival open-weight response ahead of Moonshot's IPO plans.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
交易量
$27,225結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's rapid iteration on its Kimi series, highlighted by the September 11, 2026 launch of the K2.8 preview model with performance nearing K3 levels in coding and agentic tasks, drives current trader sentiment on the next K model release. K3 itself debuted July 16 as a 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE with a 1M-token context window, open weights, and strong benchmarks that narrowed the gap to U.S. frontier models like Claude and GPT variants while undercutting their costs. Recent app updates, API pricing at $3/$15 per million tokens for K3, and enterprise partnership programs underscore Moonshot's momentum, though accusations of model distillation from Anthropic and custom licensing requirements add regulatory and competitive friction. Traders watch for the next major capability jump or rival open-weight response ahead of Moonshot's IPO plans.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$27,225結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Moonshot AI's rapid iteration on its Kimi series, highlighted by the September 11, 2026 launch of the K2.8 preview model with performance nearing K3 levels in coding and agentic tasks, drives current trader sentiment on the next K model release. K3 itself debuted July 16 as a 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE with a 1M-token context window, open weights, and strong benchmarks that narrowed the gap to U.S. frontier models like Claude and GPT variants while undercutting their costs. Recent app updates, API pricing at $3/$15 per million tokens for K3, and enterprise partnership programs underscore Moonshot's momentum, though accusations of model distillation from Anthropic and custom licensing requirements add regulatory and competitive friction. Traders watch for the next major capability jump or rival open-weight response ahead of Moonshot's IPO plans.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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