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icon for 紐約市市長2026年5月15日至5月22日?

紐約市市長2026年5月15日至5月22日?

icon for 紐約市市長2026年5月15日至5月22日?

紐約市市長2026年5月15日至5月22日?

20-39 91.2%

40-59 39.1%

少於20 10.0%

140-159 3.5%

Polymarket
最新

20-39 91.2%

40-59 39.1%

少於20 10.0%

140-159 3.5%

Polymarket
最新

少於20

$105 交易量

10%

20-39

$187 交易量

83%

40-59

$236 交易量

39%

60-79

$190 交易量

3%

80-99

$220 交易量

3%

100-119

$216 交易量

1%

120-139

$194 交易量

3%

140-159

$231 交易量

4%

160-179

$337 交易量

<1%

180-199

$447 交易量

<1%

200+

$894 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s established daily posting rhythm of three to five updates on the official @NYCMayor account on X forms the primary driver behind the market’s decisive tilt toward the 20-39 range. Since assuming office on January 1, 2026, the mayor has sustained this cadence through routine policy communications, including the May 12 executive budget presentation, ongoing housing initiatives, inflation measures, and the May 14 statement addressing the Washington Square Park incident. No major crises, travel demands, or strategic changes have altered this pattern in the current week, reinforcing trader assessments that weekly totals will remain aligned with historical norms. The 82.5 percent consensus reflects this predictable City Hall communication flow rather than any exceptional surge or lull.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,256
結束日期
2026-05-22
市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s established daily posting rhythm of three to five updates on the official @NYCMayor account on X forms the primary driver behind the market’s decisive tilt toward the 20-39 range. Since assuming office on January 1, 2026, the mayor has sustained this cadence through routine policy communications, including the May 12 executive budget presentation, ongoing housing initiatives, inflation measures, and the May 14 statement addressing the Washington Square Park incident. No major crises, travel demands, or strategic changes have altered this pattern in the current week, reinforcing trader assessments that weekly totals will remain aligned with historical norms. The 82.5 percent consensus reflects this predictable City Hall communication flow rather than any exceptional surge or lull.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,256
結束日期
2026-05-22
市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"紐約市市長2026年5月15日至5月22日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 83%, followed by "40-59" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"紐約市市長2026年5月15日至5月22日?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "紐約市市長2026年5月15日至5月22日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "紐約市市長2026年5月15日至5月22日?" is "20-39" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-59" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "紐約市市長2026年5月15日至5月22日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.