Keiko Fujimori secured first place in Peru’s April 12–13 first round with 17.18 percent of valid votes amid a fragmented field of more than 30 candidates, finishing more than five points ahead of second-place Roberto Sánchez. Her lead reflects sustained support among conservative voters focused on security and institutional stability, while the broad dispersion of remaining ballots across centrist, leftist, and other right-wing contenders prevented any challenger from closing the gap. Official results finalized in mid-May confirmed the margin above the five-point threshold, aligning with the market’s near-certain pricing for that outcome. A late adjustment in vote tallies or successful legal challenge to specific precincts could theoretically narrow the spread, though no such development has emerged in the final certification process.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於藤森惠子 5%+ 99.6%
其他 <1%
拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 15%以上 <1%
拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 10-15% <1%
$521,773 交易量
$521,773 交易量
2026-04-12
拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 15%以上
<1%
拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 10-15%
<1%
拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 5-10%
<1%
拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 <5%
<1%
阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏 5%+
<1%
阿方索·洛佩斯·喬 <5%
<1%
藤森惠子 5%+
100%
基科·藤森 <5%
<1%
豪爾赫·涅托
<1%
羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾
<1%
沃爾夫岡·格羅佐
<1%
卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯
<1%
其他
1%
藤森惠子 5%+ 99.6%
其他 <1%
拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 15%以上 <1%
拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 10-15% <1%
$521,773 交易量
$521,773 交易量
2026-04-12
拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 15%以上
$10,673 交易量
<1%
拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 10-15%
$12,077 交易量
<1%
拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 5-10%
$8,344 交易量
<1%
拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 <5%
$20,070 交易量
<1%
阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏 5%+
$7,219 交易量
<1%
阿方索·洛佩斯·喬 <5%
$6,302 交易量
<1%
藤森惠子 5%+
$162,138 交易量
100%
基科·藤森 <5%
$209,115 交易量
<1%
豪爾赫·涅托
$16,948 交易量
<1%
羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾
$20,796 交易量
<1%
沃爾夫岡·格羅佐
$4,675 交易量
<1%
卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯
$6,118 交易量
<1%
其他
$37,298 交易量
1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori secured first place in Peru’s April 12–13 first round with 17.18 percent of valid votes amid a fragmented field of more than 30 candidates, finishing more than five points ahead of second-place Roberto Sánchez. Her lead reflects sustained support among conservative voters focused on security and institutional stability, while the broad dispersion of remaining ballots across centrist, leftist, and other right-wing contenders prevented any challenger from closing the gap. Official results finalized in mid-May confirmed the margin above the five-point threshold, aligning with the market’s near-certain pricing for that outcome. A late adjustment in vote tallies or successful legal challenge to specific precincts could theoretically narrow the spread, though no such development has emerged in the final certification process.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市場開放時間： Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
交易量
$521,773結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori secured first place in Peru’s April 12–13 first round with 17.18 percent of valid votes amid a fragmented field of more than 30 candidates, finishing more than five points ahead of second-place Roberto Sánchez. Her lead reflects sustained support among conservative voters focused on security and institutional stability, while the broad dispersion of remaining ballots across centrist, leftist, and other right-wing contenders prevented any challenger from closing the gap. Official results finalized in mid-May confirmed the margin above the five-point threshold, aligning with the market’s near-certain pricing for that outcome. A late adjustment in vote tallies or successful legal challenge to specific precincts could theoretically narrow the spread, though no such development has emerged in the final certification process.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$521,773結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori secured first place in Peru’s April 12–13 first round with 17.18 percent of valid votes amid a fragmented field of more than 30 candidates, finishing more than five points ahead of second-place Roberto Sánchez. Her lead reflects sustained support among conservative voters focused on security and institutional stability, while the broad dispersion of remaining ballots across centrist, leftist, and other right-wing contenders prevented any challenger from closing the gap. Official results finalized in mid-May confirmed the margin above the five-point threshold, aligning with the market’s near-certain pricing for that outcome. A late adjustment in vote tallies or successful legal challenge to specific precincts could theoretically narrow the spread, though no such development has emerged in the final certification process.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions