Peru's mandatory voting framework and entrenched patterns of moderate participation have positioned the April 12 first-round turnout firmly in the 70-75 percent band. This range aligns closely with the 74.6 percent level from the comparable 2021 contest and earlier cycles, reflecting steady engagement despite record fragmentation across 35 candidates and widespread public fatigue over instability. Logistical delays in ballot distribution and extended polling hours in select districts introduced minor friction but failed to shift overall participation, as confirmed by official tallies nearing 74 percent with full counts imminent. Absent any late surges from overseas voters or rural mobilization, the established historical baseline continues to underpin trader expectations for this outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於70-75% 99.8%
80-85% <1%
75-80% <1%
低於70% <1%
$260,249 交易量
$260,249 交易量
低於70%
<1%
70-75%
100%
75-80%
<1%
80-85%
<1%
> 85%
<1%
70-75% 99.8%
80-85% <1%
75-80% <1%
低於70% <1%
$260,249 交易量
$260,249 交易量
低於70%
<1%
70-75%
100%
75-80%
<1%
80-85%
<1%
> 85%
<1%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Peru's mandatory voting framework and entrenched patterns of moderate participation have positioned the April 12 first-round turnout firmly in the 70-75 percent band. This range aligns closely with the 74.6 percent level from the comparable 2021 contest and earlier cycles, reflecting steady engagement despite record fragmentation across 35 candidates and widespread public fatigue over instability. Logistical delays in ballot distribution and extended polling hours in select districts introduced minor friction but failed to shift overall participation, as confirmed by official tallies nearing 74 percent with full counts imminent. Absent any late surges from overseas voters or rural mobilization, the established historical baseline continues to underpin trader expectations for this outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions