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icon for 聖卡塔琳娜州參議院選舉：第一名
選舉·全球選舉

聖卡塔琳娜州參議院選舉：第一名

icon for 聖卡塔琳娜州參議院選舉：第一名
選舉·全球選舉

聖卡塔琳娜州參議院選舉：第一名

Carlos Bolsonaro 62%

Carol de Toni 37%

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado 1.3%

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter 1.0%

Polymarket
最新

Carlos Bolsonaro 62%

Carol de Toni 37%

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado 1.3%

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter 1.0%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Carlos Bolsonaro

Carlos Bolsonaro

$879 交易量

62%

icon for Carol de Toni

Carol de Toni

$1,385 交易量

37%

icon for Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

$529 交易量

1%

icon for Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter

$208 交易量

1%

icon for Carol

Carol

$208 交易量

<1%

icon for Marcos Dorval

Marcos Dorval

$176 交易量

<1%

icon for Décio Lima

Décio Lima

$224 交易量

<1%

icon for Esperidião Amin

Esperidião Amin

$208 交易量

<1%

icon for Joaninha de Oliveira

Joaninha de Oliveira

$327 交易量

<1%

icon for Marlene Soccas

Marlene Soccas

$297 交易量

<1%

icon for Lunelli

Lunelli

$283 交易量

<1%

icon for Afrânio Boppré

Afrânio Boppré

$289 交易量

<1%

icon for Jeferson da Rocha

Jeferson da Rocha

$208 交易量

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The PL party's pairing of Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni for Santa Catarina's two Senate seats on October 4, 2026, structures the contest, with both candidates backed by state and national party figures. Trader pricing places Carlos Bolsonaro well ahead for first place, reflecting his national name recognition and family political network despite his recent relocation from Rio de Janeiro and documented resistance within parts of the local base. Carol de Toni trails in the implied probabilities but remains the clear second option in recent surveys. Other contenders, including Esperidião Amin and Décio Lima, register minimal support and trail substantially in available polling. The market assigns low probability to upsets by lesser-known names, consistent with historical patterns where established party tickets consolidate early leads in Brazilian state Senate races.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$5,223
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The PL party's pairing of Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni for Santa Catarina's two Senate seats on October 4, 2026, structures the contest, with both candidates backed by state and national party figures. Trader pricing places Carlos Bolsonaro well ahead for first place, reflecting his national name recognition and family political network despite his recent relocation from Rio de Janeiro and documented resistance within parts of the local base. Carol de Toni trails in the implied probabilities but remains the clear second option in recent surveys. Other contenders, including Esperidião Amin and Décio Lima, register minimal support and trail substantially in available polling. The market assigns low probability to upsets by lesser-known names, consistent with historical patterns where established party tickets consolidate early leads in Brazilian state Senate races.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$5,223
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"聖卡塔琳娜州參議院選舉：第一名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Bolsonaro" at 62%, followed by "Carol de Toni" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"聖卡塔琳娜州參議院選舉：第一名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "聖卡塔琳娜州參議院選舉：第一名," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "聖卡塔琳娜州參議院選舉：第一名" is "Carlos Bolsonaro" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carol de Toni" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "聖卡塔琳娜州參議院選舉：第一名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.