Skip to main content
icon for 聖卡塔琳娜州參議院選舉：第二名
選舉·主要選舉

聖卡塔琳娜州參議院選舉：第二名

icon for 聖卡塔琳娜州參議院選舉：第二名
選舉·主要選舉

聖卡塔琳娜州參議院選舉：第二名

卡羅 26%

傑弗森·達·羅查 25%

圖利奧·德·阿莫林·普費岑雷特 25%

馬科斯·多爾瓦爾 24%

Polymarket
最新

卡羅 26%

傑弗森·達·羅查 25%

圖利奧·德·阿莫林·普費岑雷特 25%

馬科斯·多爾瓦爾 24%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 卡羅

卡羅

$21 交易量

26%

icon for 傑弗森·達·羅查

傑弗森·達·羅查

$21 交易量

25%

icon for 圖利奧·德·阿莫林·普費岑雷特

圖利奧·德·阿莫林·普費岑雷特

$21 交易量

25%

icon for 馬科斯·多爾瓦爾

馬科斯·多爾瓦爾

$21 交易量

24%

icon for 瑪琳·索卡斯

瑪琳·索卡斯

$21 交易量

22%

icon for Joaninha de Oliveira

Joaninha de Oliveira

$21 交易量

22%

icon for Afrânio Boppré

Afrânio Boppré

$21 交易量

21%

icon for Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

$21 交易量

21%

icon for Carol de Toni

Carol de Toni

$21 交易量

20%

icon for Esperidião Amin

Esperidião Amin

$21 交易量

19%

icon for Décio Lima

Décio Lima

$42 交易量

23%

icon for 卡洛斯·波索納羅

卡洛斯·波索納羅

$42 交易量

25%

icon for 盧內利

盧內利

$21 交易量

13%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Santa Catarina’s 2026 Senate race, where voters select two senators, trader consensus on second place remains closely divided among several contenders because the Partido Liberal (PL) fields two prominent candidates—Carlos Bolsonaro and Caroline de Toni—whose combined strength dominates recent polling and could secure both seats. July and August surveys, including Neokemp and AtlasIntel, place the PL pair at the top while Esperidião Amin (PP), Décio Lima (PT), and others trail, leaving the second slot dependent on vote splitting within the right-leaning bloc and turnout among center and left-leaning voters. Official candidate registrations closed recently, with limited new endorsements or campaign events yet shifting the balance. Any late consolidation of opposition support, stronger performance by Amin or PT figures, or shifts in PL voter preferences could separate the field before October.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$315
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Santa Catarina’s 2026 Senate race, where voters select two senators, trader consensus on second place remains closely divided among several contenders because the Partido Liberal (PL) fields two prominent candidates—Carlos Bolsonaro and Caroline de Toni—whose combined strength dominates recent polling and could secure both seats. July and August surveys, including Neokemp and AtlasIntel, place the PL pair at the top while Esperidião Amin (PP), Décio Lima (PT), and others trail, leaving the second slot dependent on vote splitting within the right-leaning bloc and turnout among center and left-leaning voters. Official candidate registrations closed recently, with limited new endorsements or campaign events yet shifting the balance. Any late consolidation of opposition support, stronger performance by Amin or PT figures, or shifts in PL voter preferences could separate the field before October.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$315
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

相關

icon for Will Marlene Soccas win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?

Will Marlene Soccas win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?

24%
icon for 瑪麗娜·席爾瓦會在2026年聖保羅參議院選舉中獲得第二多的選票嗎？

瑪麗娜·席爾瓦會在2026年聖保羅參議院選舉中獲得第二多的選票嗎？

28%
是
icon for 亞歷山大·吉馬良斯會在2026年托坎廷斯參議院選舉中獲得第二高的票數嗎？

亞歷山大·吉馬良斯會在2026年托坎廷斯參議院選舉中獲得第二高的票數嗎？

43%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"聖卡塔琳娜州參議院選舉：第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "卡羅" at 26%, followed by "傑弗森·達·羅查" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"聖卡塔琳娜州參議院選舉：第二名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "聖卡塔琳娜州參議院選舉：第二名," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "聖卡塔琳娜州參議院選舉：第二名" is "卡羅" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "傑弗森·達·羅查" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "聖卡塔琳娜州參議院選舉：第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.