SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a targeted Nasdaq debut as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX and plans to raise roughly $75 billion at a $1.75–2 trillion-plus valuation, is driving the 68.5% market-implied probability for a 2.0T+ closing market cap. Recent confidential SEC filings and a faster-than-expected regulatory review have shifted focus to the company’s demonstrated progress scaling Starlink’s direct-to-cell service and Starship reusability, which analysts link to projected revenue growth beyond 2025 levels. The February merger with xAI further bolsters positioning in space-based AI infrastructure, though governance questions around Elon Musk and execution risks on ambitious lunar and orbital data-center goals remain key swing factors for traders assessing whether the post-IPO close sustains these elevated levels.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2兆美元以上 69%
1.8兆–2.0兆 13%
1.6兆–1.8兆 7.6%
1.4 兆–1.6 兆 4.4%
$964,171 交易量
$964,171 交易量
2027-12-31
2028年前不會上市
1%
低於 1.0 兆
3%
1.0 兆–1.2 兆
2%
1.2兆–1.4兆
3%
1.4 兆–1.6 兆
4%
1.6兆–1.8兆
8%
1.8兆–2.0兆
13%
2兆美元以上
69%
2兆美元以上 69%
1.8兆–2.0兆 13%
1.6兆–1.8兆 7.6%
1.4 兆–1.6 兆 4.4%
$964,171 交易量
$964,171 交易量
2027-12-31
2028年前不會上市
$194,889 交易量
1%
低於 1.0 兆
$78,071 交易量
3%
1.0 兆–1.2 兆
$54,992 交易量
2%
1.2兆–1.4兆
$72,125 交易量
3%
1.4 兆–1.6 兆
$117,206 交易量
4%
1.6兆–1.8兆
$119,914 交易量
8%
1.8兆–2.0兆
$107,793 交易量
13%
2兆美元以上
$219,581 交易量
69%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a targeted Nasdaq debut as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX and plans to raise roughly $75 billion at a $1.75–2 trillion-plus valuation, is driving the 68.5% market-implied probability for a 2.0T+ closing market cap. Recent confidential SEC filings and a faster-than-expected regulatory review have shifted focus to the company’s demonstrated progress scaling Starlink’s direct-to-cell service and Starship reusability, which analysts link to projected revenue growth beyond 2025 levels. The February merger with xAI further bolsters positioning in space-based AI infrastructure, though governance questions around Elon Musk and execution risks on ambitious lunar and orbital data-center goals remain key swing factors for traders assessing whether the post-IPO close sustains these elevated levels.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
交易量
$964,171結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a targeted Nasdaq debut as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX and plans to raise roughly $75 billion at a $1.75–2 trillion-plus valuation, is driving the 68.5% market-implied probability for a 2.0T+ closing market cap. Recent confidential SEC filings and a faster-than-expected regulatory review have shifted focus to the company’s demonstrated progress scaling Starlink’s direct-to-cell service and Starship reusability, which analysts link to projected revenue growth beyond 2025 levels. The February merger with xAI further bolsters positioning in space-based AI infrastructure, though governance questions around Elon Musk and execution risks on ambitious lunar and orbital data-center goals remain key swing factors for traders assessing whether the post-IPO close sustains these elevated levels.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$964,171結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a targeted Nasdaq debut as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX and plans to raise roughly $75 billion at a $1.75–2 trillion-plus valuation, is driving the 68.5% market-implied probability for a 2.0T+ closing market cap. Recent confidential SEC filings and a faster-than-expected regulatory review have shifted focus to the company’s demonstrated progress scaling Starlink’s direct-to-cell service and Starship reusability, which analysts link to projected revenue growth beyond 2025 levels. The February merger with xAI further bolsters positioning in space-based AI infrastructure, though governance questions around Elon Musk and execution risks on ambitious lunar and orbital data-center goals remain key swing factors for traders assessing whether the post-IPO close sustains these elevated levels.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions