Recent U.S. statements and actions have heightened tensions with Cuba, including expanded surveillance flights within 80 miles of the island, new sanctions targeting regime elites, and public remarks from President Trump referencing potential military options following the Venezuela intervention. U.S. officials have clarified that no imminent action is planned despite these signals, while Cuba has condemned the rhetoric as provocative and mobilized defensive preparations amid ongoing economic sanctions and energy shortages. This combination of escalated pressure without confirmed deployment of combat forces or direct confrontation supports the current trader consensus that a military clash remains unlikely through the end of 2026, though scheduled diplomatic exchanges and regional security developments could still alter assessments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$109,404 交易量
$109,404 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$109,404 交易量
$109,404 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S. statements and actions have heightened tensions with Cuba, including expanded surveillance flights within 80 miles of the island, new sanctions targeting regime elites, and public remarks from President Trump referencing potential military options following the Venezuela intervention. U.S. officials have clarified that no imminent action is planned despite these signals, while Cuba has condemned the rhetoric as provocative and mobilized defensive preparations amid ongoing economic sanctions and energy shortages. This combination of escalated pressure without confirmed deployment of combat forces or direct confrontation supports the current trader consensus that a military clash remains unlikely through the end of 2026, though scheduled diplomatic exchanges and regional security developments could still alter assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Feb 25, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
交易量
$109,404結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 25, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S. statements and actions have heightened tensions with Cuba, including expanded surveillance flights within 80 miles of the island, new sanctions targeting regime elites, and public remarks from President Trump referencing potential military options following the Venezuela intervention. U.S. officials have clarified that no imminent action is planned despite these signals, while Cuba has condemned the rhetoric as provocative and mobilized defensive preparations amid ongoing economic sanctions and energy shortages. This combination of escalated pressure without confirmed deployment of combat forces or direct confrontation supports the current trader consensus that a military clash remains unlikely through the end of 2026, though scheduled diplomatic exchanges and regional security developments could still alter assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$109,404結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 25, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. statements and actions have heightened tensions with Cuba, including expanded surveillance flights within 80 miles of the island, new sanctions targeting regime elites, and public remarks from President Trump referencing potential military options following the Venezuela intervention. U.S. officials have clarified that no imminent action is planned despite these signals, while Cuba has condemned the rhetoric as provocative and mobilized defensive preparations amid ongoing economic sanctions and energy shortages. This combination of escalated pressure without confirmed deployment of combat forces or direct confrontation supports the current trader consensus that a military clash remains unlikely through the end of 2026, though scheduled diplomatic exchanges and regional security developments could still alter assessments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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