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政治·主要

VA-02民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for VA-02民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

VA-02民主黨初選獲勝者

伊萊恩·盧里亞 87%

Matt Strickler 4.0%

Burk Stringfellow 3.2%

Patrick Mosolf 3.0%

Polymarket
最新

伊萊恩·盧里亞 87%

Matt Strickler 4.0%

Burk Stringfellow 3.2%

Patrick Mosolf 3.0%

Polymarket
最新

伊萊恩·盧里亞

$1,330 交易量

87%

Matt Strickler

$594 交易量

4%

Burk Stringfellow

$616 交易量

3%

Patrick Mosolf

$1,514 交易量

3%

詹姆斯·奧西夫

$1,112 交易量

7%

Nila Devanath

$878 交易量

1%

尼古勞斯·斯萊斯特

$1,035 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Rep. Elaine Luria leads Polymarket trader consensus at 86.5% to win the VA-02 Democratic primary on August 4, driven by her dominant Q1 2026 fundraising ($2.87 million raised, $2.29 million cash on hand as of March 31), far outpacing challengers like Nila Devanath ($230,000 raised) and Patrick Mosolf ($44,000). Recent withdrawals of prominent rivals, including former Virginia Cabinet Secretary Matt Strickler on April 28 and James Osyf, have consolidated support behind Luria's name recognition from her 2019-2023 tenure and endorsements from Sens. Mark Warner and Tim Kaine. The narrowed field of four active candidates underscores her frontrunner status in this toss-up district, though the May 26 filing deadline could introduce changes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$7,079
結束日期
2026-06-16
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Rep. Elaine Luria leads Polymarket trader consensus at 86.5% to win the VA-02 Democratic primary on August 4, driven by her dominant Q1 2026 fundraising ($2.87 million raised, $2.29 million cash on hand as of March 31), far outpacing challengers like Nila Devanath ($230,000 raised) and Patrick Mosolf ($44,000). Recent withdrawals of prominent rivals, including former Virginia Cabinet Secretary Matt Strickler on April 28 and James Osyf, have consolidated support behind Luria's name recognition from her 2019-2023 tenure and endorsements from Sens. Mark Warner and Tim Kaine. The narrowed field of four active candidates underscores her frontrunner status in this toss-up district, though the May 26 filing deadline could introduce changes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$7,079
結束日期
2026-06-16
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"VA-02民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "伊萊恩·盧里亞" at 87%, followed by "詹姆斯·奧西夫" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"VA-02民主黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 25, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "VA-02民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "VA-02民主黨初選獲勝者" is "伊萊恩·盧里亞" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "詹姆斯·奧西夫" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "VA-02民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.