維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Name: 維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者
Start: 2025-11-27T00:08:31.965Z
End: 2026-06-16T00:00:00.000Z

政治·主要

維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Bert Mizusawa 52%

Kim Farington 30.6%

大衛·威廉斯 11%

Alex De Paula 2.4%

$2,401,611 交易量

2026-06-16

Bert Mizusawa

$10,764 交易量

52%

Kim Farington

$457,147 交易量

31%

大衛·威廉斯

$14,390 交易量

11%

Alex De Paula

$3,642 交易量

Chuck Smith

$5,076 交易量

Al Mina

$1,847,158 交易量

溫森·厄爾-西爾斯

$11,035 交易量

傑森·米亞雷斯

$15,190 交易量

<1%

Bryce Reeves

$37,208 交易量

<1%

Bert Mizusawa 52%

Kim Farington 30.6%

大衛·威廉斯 11%

Alex De Paula 2.4%

$2,401,611 交易量

2026-06-16

Bert Mizusawa

$10,764 交易量

52%

Kim Farington

$457,147 交易量

31%

大衛·威廉斯

$14,390 交易量

11%

Alex De Paula

$3,642 交易量

Chuck Smith

$5,076 交易量

Al Mina

$1,847,158 交易量

溫森·厄爾-西爾斯

$11,035 交易量

傑森·米亞雷斯

$15,190 交易量

<1%

Bryce Reeves

$37,208 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Bert Mizusawa leads trader consensus at 51.5% implied probability in the Virginia Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 4, driven by his retired Army Major General credentials appealing to the state's military-heavy GOP base, superior fundraising with nearly $200,000 raised, and a slight edge in the May 1-5 Public Sentiment Institute poll (24% to Kim Farington's 22%). Farington trails at 30.4% on her fiscal conservative profile as a CPA and federal executive combating government waste, while David Williams holds 10.5% buoyed by Marine combat experience. Recent calls for field consolidation behind Mizusawa, amid high-volume Polymarket trading over $2.4 million, reflect momentum toward a unified challenger to incumbent Democrat Mark Warner, though a large undecided pool and 2.5 months until the primary keep the race competitive.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於 2026年5月14日上午11:03 [UTC]

May 14 2026

Bert Mizusawa maintains lead in final days before Virginia GOP primary

Bert Mizusawa rises to 52%4%

As the primary approached, Bert Mizusawa held a steady lead with a market price around 52%, indicating strong positioning to win the nomination despite fluctuations earlier in the campaign.

May 6 2026

Kim Farington surges after campaign revitalization

Kim Farington surges to 37%22%

Kim Farington's campaign saw a resurgence due to new endorsements and increased media coverage, causing his market price to jump from 15% to 37%.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於 2026年5月14日上午11:03 [UTC]

May 14 2026

Bert Mizusawa maintains lead in final days before Virginia GOP primary

Bert Mizusawa rises to 52%4%

As the primary approached, Bert Mizusawa held a steady lead with a market price around 52%, indicating strong positioning to win the nomination despite fluctuations earlier in the campaign.

May 6 2026

Kim Farington surges after campaign revitalization

Kim Farington surges to 37%22%

Kim Farington's campaign saw a resurgence due to new endorsements and increased media coverage, causing his market price to jump from 15% to 37%.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bert Mizusawa" at 52%, followed by "Kim Farington" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $2.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "Bert Mizusawa" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kim Farington" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $2.4 million traded on “維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 52¢ for "Bert Mizusawa" in the "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 52% chance that "Bert Mizusawa" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 52¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 48¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jun 16, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" market has a growing discussion of 6 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

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Frequently Asked Questions

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