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政治·主要

WA-01主要優勝者

icon for WA-01主要優勝者
政治·主要

WA-01主要優勝者

最新
2026-08-04
Polymarket

$373 交易量

Polymarket

Suzan DelBene

$102 交易量

93%

Mary Silva

$0 交易量

83%

亨特·戈登

$164 交易量

16%

詹姆斯·埃茲科恩

$0 交易量

16%

本傑明·金凱德

$0 交易量

12%

Bryce Nickel

$25 交易量

7%

Catherine Hildebrand

$82 交易量

2%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-01 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-01 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington's 1st Congressional District holds its nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, with the two highest vote-getters advancing to the November general election. Incumbent U.S. Representative Suzan DelBene faces several Democratic challengers including Benjamin Kincaid, Bryce Nickel, Catherine Hildebrand, and Hunter Gordon, alongside Republican Mary Silva and independent James Etzkorn. Candidate filing has closed, and campaigns are focused on fundraising, voter outreach, and turnout in the suburban and rural portions of the district north of Seattle. No major late-breaking developments have shifted the field in recent weeks. The primary outcome will determine the general-election matchup under Washington's jungle primary rules.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-01 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-01 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$373
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-01 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-01 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-01 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-01 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington's 1st Congressional District holds its nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, with the two highest vote-getters advancing to the November general election. Incumbent U.S. Representative Suzan DelBene faces several Democratic challengers including Benjamin Kincaid, Bryce Nickel, Catherine Hildebrand, and Hunter Gordon, alongside Republican Mary Silva and independent James Etzkorn. Candidate filing has closed, and campaigns are focused on fundraising, voter outreach, and turnout in the suburban and rural portions of the district north of Seattle. No major late-breaking developments have shifted the field in recent weeks. The primary outcome will determine the general-election matchup under Washington's jungle primary rules.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-01 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-01 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$373
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-01 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-01 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"WA-01主要優勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Suzan DelBene" at 93%, followed by "Mary Silva" at 83%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"WA-01主要優勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "WA-01主要優勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WA-01主要優勝者" is "Suzan DelBene" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mary Silva" at 83%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WA-01主要優勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.