Fred Clark holds a modest lead in the WI-07 Democratic primary market at 59.5% implied probability, while several other contenders and the field remain tightly clustered near 50% or below. The race stays competitive due to limited polling data, comparable name recognition among candidates, and ongoing fundraising and endorsement activity typical of an open-seat primary. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over which contender can consolidate support among Democratic voters in the district ahead of the primary date. Key upcoming developments such as candidate debates, major endorsements, or shifts in campaign resources could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunner momentum before ballots are cast.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Fred Clark 80%
Chris Armstrong 18%
Ginger Murray 16%
Fred Clark
80%
Chris Armstrong
18%
Ginger Murray
16%
Fred Clark 80%
Chris Armstrong 18%
Ginger Murray 16%
Fred Clark
80%
Chris Armstrong
18%
Ginger Murray
16%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Jul 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Fred Clark holds a modest lead in the WI-07 Democratic primary market at 59.5% implied probability, while several other contenders and the field remain tightly clustered near 50% or below. The race stays competitive due to limited polling data, comparable name recognition among candidates, and ongoing fundraising and endorsement activity typical of an open-seat primary. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over which contender can consolidate support among Democratic voters in the district ahead of the primary date. Key upcoming developments such as candidate debates, major endorsements, or shifts in campaign resources could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunner momentum before ballots are cast.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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