Recent Chicago housing data, including Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326,000 as of late May 2026 with 3.5% year-over-year gains, underpin the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $339k–$342k range at 26.5%. Persistent low inventory, 4–6% annual price growth across Redfin and Realtor.com reports, and elevated mortgage rates near 6% have tempered acceleration, leaving the outcome contested between modest June gains and potential seasonal softening. Key swing factors include any final pre-resolution sales figures or index updates that could shift the median by a few thousand dollars, with traders weighting the narrow band heavily due to the resolution date’s proximity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$339k - $342k 72%
低於339,000美元 18%
$342,000 - $345,000 11%
>$354k 4.0%
低於339,000美元
18%
$339k - $342k
72%
$342,000 - $345,000
11%
$345,000 - $348,000
32%
$348k - $351k
3%
$351k - $354k
<1%
>$354k
4%
$339k - $342k 72%
低於339,000美元 18%
$342,000 - $345,000 11%
>$354k 4.0%
低於339,000美元
18%
$339k - $342k
72%
$342,000 - $345,000
11%
$345,000 - $348,000
32%
$348k - $351k
3%
$351k - $354k
<1%
>$354k
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
市場開放時間: Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Chicago housing data, including Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326,000 as of late May 2026 with 3.5% year-over-year gains, underpin the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $339k–$342k range at 26.5%. Persistent low inventory, 4–6% annual price growth across Redfin and Realtor.com reports, and elevated mortgage rates near 6% have tempered acceleration, leaving the outcome contested between modest June gains and potential seasonal softening. Key swing factors include any final pre-resolution sales figures or index updates that could shift the median by a few thousand dollars, with traders weighting the narrow band heavily due to the resolution date’s proximity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions