The April 12 first-round vote produced a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with final tallies released in mid-May confirming Keiko Fujimori in first place at roughly 17 percent while a narrow contest for second determined the runoff pairing. Traders have assigned near-certain probability to outcomes outside the listed combinations, reflecting how vote shares for Rafael López Aliaga, Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and others fell short of securing the exact matchups priced in the market. Peru’s runoff system requires the top two finishers to advance to the June 7 contest, and the completed count has locked in that structure. Late legal challenges or verified irregularities in remaining precincts could still shift the second-place finisher, though such developments remain low-probability at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於其他 100.0%
洛佩斯·阿里亞加 & 洛佩斯·喬 <1%
洛佩斯·阿利亞加與涅托 <1%
洛佩斯·查烏與藤森 <1%
$1,181,384 交易量
$1,181,384 交易量
洛佩斯·阿里亞加 & 洛佩斯·喬
否
洛佩斯·阿利亞加與涅托
否
洛佩斯·查烏與藤森
否
洛佩斯·喬與涅托
否
洛佩斯·查烏 & 桑切斯·帕洛米諾
否
洛佩斯·阿利亞加與藤森惠子
否
洛佩斯·阿利亞加 & 桑切斯·帕洛米諾
否
洛佩斯·阿利亞加 & 格羅佐
否
藤森 & 尼耶托
否
其他
是
其他 100.0%
洛佩斯·阿里亞加 & 洛佩斯·喬 <1%
洛佩斯·阿利亞加與涅托 <1%
洛佩斯·查烏與藤森 <1%
$1,181,384 交易量
$1,181,384 交易量
洛佩斯·阿里亞加 & 洛佩斯·喬
否
洛佩斯·阿利亞加與涅托
否
洛佩斯·查烏與藤森
否
洛佩斯·喬與涅托
否
洛佩斯·查烏 & 桑切斯·帕洛米諾
否
洛佩斯·阿利亞加與藤森惠子
否
洛佩斯·阿利亞加 & 桑切斯·帕洛米諾
否
洛佩斯·阿利亞加 & 格羅佐
否
藤森 & 尼耶托
否
其他
是
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The April 12 first-round vote produced a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with final tallies released in mid-May confirming Keiko Fujimori in first place at roughly 17 percent while a narrow contest for second determined the runoff pairing. Traders have assigned near-certain probability to outcomes outside the listed combinations, reflecting how vote shares for Rafael López Aliaga, Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and others fell short of securing the exact matchups priced in the market. Peru’s runoff system requires the top two finishers to advance to the June 7 contest, and the completed count has locked in that structure. Late legal challenges or verified irregularities in remaining precincts could still shift the second-place finisher, though such developments remain low-probability at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions