Traders see the 180-199 range as the most probable outcome for White House posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026, because routine executive communications and scheduled announcements have produced steady but not elevated volume this week. The period has featured standard policy updates and agency releases without major breaking events or high-profile international developments that typically drive increased posting frequency. Historical patterns from similar non-crisis weeks show comparable totals, supporting the current implied probability. A surge into the 200+ bracket would require unexpected developments such as sudden legislative action or diplomatic announcements before the window closes, while lower ranges appear unlikely given consistent baseline activity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
180-199 80%
200+ 16%
160-179 5.8%
140-159 <1%
$52,110 交易量
$52,110 交易量
140-159
<1%
160-179
6%
180-199
80%
200+
16%
180-199 80%
200+ 16%
160-179 5.8%
140-159 <1%
$52,110 交易量
$52,110 交易量
140-159
<1%
160-179
6%
180-199
80%
200+
16%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: May 9, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 180-199 range as the most probable outcome for White House posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026, because routine executive communications and scheduled announcements have produced steady but not elevated volume this week. The period has featured standard policy updates and agency releases without major breaking events or high-profile international developments that typically drive increased posting frequency. Historical patterns from similar non-crisis weeks show comparable totals, supporting the current implied probability. A surge into the 200+ bracket would require unexpected developments such as sudden legislative action or diplomatic announcements before the window closes, while lower ranges appear unlikely given consistent baseline activity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions