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Politics·Primaries

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Matt Little 86%

Matt Klein 10%

Kaela Berg 4.8%

Polymarket

$34,038 交易量

Matt Little 86%

Matt Klein 10%

Kaela Berg 4.8%

Polymarket

$34,038 交易量

Matt Little

$21,948 交易量

86%

Matt Klein

$9,150 交易量

10%

Kaela Berg

$2,940 交易量

5%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Matt Little holds the clear lead in the MN-02 Democratic primary at 79.5% implied probability due to securing the DFL congressional district endorsement on the first ballot with 63% support at the May 2026 convention. This party backing, combined with his prior service as state senator and Lakeville mayor, has consolidated support ahead of the August 11 primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. Angie Craig. Matt Klein, a sitting state senator, trails at 13% amid competitive fundraising but limited organizational momentum, while state Rep. Kaela Berg remains at 4% with lower name recognition and resources. A May poll showed Little ahead at 41%, and earlier straw polls reinforced his edge; no major subsequent shifts have altered the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$34,038
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Matt Little holds the clear lead in the MN-02 Democratic primary at 79.5% implied probability due to securing the DFL congressional district endorsement on the first ballot with 63% support at the May 2026 convention. This party backing, combined with his prior service as state senator and Lakeville mayor, has consolidated support ahead of the August 11 primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. Angie Craig. Matt Klein, a sitting state senator, trails at 13% amid competitive fundraising but limited organizational momentum, while state Rep. Kaela Berg remains at 4% with lower name recognition and resources. A May poll showed Little ahead at 41%, and earlier straw polls reinforced his edge; no major subsequent shifts have altered the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$34,038
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Matt Little" at 86%, followed by "Matt Klein" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $34K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Matt Little" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Matt Klein" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.