Recent polling in Piauí shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats, with Marcelo Castro (MDB) holding a narrow lead in voter intention surveys while Ciro Nogueira (PP) and Júlio César (PSD) remain within the margin of error. A long list of additional candidates, including Tiago Junqueira (PL) and smaller-party contenders, splits support further and sustains uncertainty over first-place positioning. Candidate registration closed in mid-August, shifting focus to formal campaigning and potential alliances ahead of the October vote. Trader pricing reflects this dispersion, with probabilities clustered tightly as no single contender has consolidated a clear advantage. Late shifts in turnout among key regional blocs or new endorsements could widen gaps before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Dionisio Carvalho 45%
Jardenya Bezerra 45%
Julio Cesar 44%
Marcelo Castro 44%

Dionisio Carvalho
45%

Jardenya Bezerra
45%

Julio Cesar
44%

Marcelo Castro
44%

Maria Madalena Nunes
44%

Tiago Junqueira
44%

Toinho Dufrango
44%

Irmão Evandro Marques
44%

Jorge Lopes
44%

Pastor Sena
44%

Francinaldo Leão
40%

Antônio Barros
37%

Antônio José Lira
37%

Major Paulo Roberto
27%

Ciro Nogueira
26%

Pedro Laurentino
26%

Missionário Evandro Craveiro
25%

Danniel Rocha
24%

Cloves José
24%

Alexandre Mariano
23%
Dionisio Carvalho 45%
Jardenya Bezerra 45%
Julio Cesar 44%
Marcelo Castro 44%

Dionisio Carvalho
45%

Jardenya Bezerra
45%

Julio Cesar
44%

Marcelo Castro
44%

Maria Madalena Nunes
44%

Tiago Junqueira
44%

Toinho Dufrango
44%

Irmão Evandro Marques
44%

Jorge Lopes
44%

Pastor Sena
44%

Francinaldo Leão
40%

Antônio Barros
37%

Antônio José Lira
37%

Major Paulo Roberto
27%

Ciro Nogueira
26%

Pedro Laurentino
26%

Missionário Evandro Craveiro
25%

Danniel Rocha
24%

Cloves José
24%

Alexandre Mariano
23%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Piauí shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats, with Marcelo Castro (MDB) holding a narrow lead in voter intention surveys while Ciro Nogueira (PP) and Júlio César (PSD) remain within the margin of error. A long list of additional candidates, including Tiago Junqueira (PL) and smaller-party contenders, splits support further and sustains uncertainty over first-place positioning. Candidate registration closed in mid-August, shifting focus to formal campaigning and potential alliances ahead of the October vote. Trader pricing reflects this dispersion, with probabilities clustered tightly as no single contender has consolidated a clear advantage. Late shifts in turnout among key regional blocs or new endorsements could widen gaps before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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