Recent polling for Brazil’s October 2026 presidential election shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro locked in a tight contest, with Lula at 38–40 percent and Bolsonaro at 33–37 percent across May surveys from Quaest, Futura, and Ideia. Support for other contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema remains in the low single digits, while undecided and blank ballots account for roughly 10–15 percent of voters. This fragmented field and polarized electorate have kept first-round majorities historically rare in Brazil, producing the current trader consensus that no candidate will clear 50 percent outright on October 4.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$65,530 交易量
$65,530 交易量
2026-10-04
是
$65,530 交易量
$65,530 交易量
2026-10-04
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling for Brazil’s October 2026 presidential election shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro locked in a tight contest, with Lula at 38–40 percent and Bolsonaro at 33–37 percent across May surveys from Quaest, Futura, and Ideia. Support for other contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema remains in the low single digits, while undecided and blank ballots account for roughly 10–15 percent of voters. This fragmented field and polarized electorate have kept first-round majorities historically rare in Brazil, producing the current trader consensus that no candidate will clear 50 percent outright on October 4.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2025, 4:01 PM ET
交易量
$65,530結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling for Brazil’s October 2026 presidential election shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro locked in a tight contest, with Lula at 38–40 percent and Bolsonaro at 33–37 percent across May surveys from Quaest, Futura, and Ideia. Support for other contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema remains in the low single digits, while undecided and blank ballots account for roughly 10–15 percent of voters. This fragmented field and polarized electorate have kept first-round majorities historically rare in Brazil, producing the current trader consensus that no candidate will clear 50 percent outright on October 4.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$65,530結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling for Brazil’s October 2026 presidential election shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro locked in a tight contest, with Lula at 38–40 percent and Bolsonaro at 33–37 percent across May surveys from Quaest, Futura, and Ideia. Support for other contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema remains in the low single digits, while undecided and blank ballots account for roughly 10–15 percent of voters. This fragmented field and polarized electorate have kept first-round majorities historically rare in Brazil, producing the current trader consensus that no candidate will clear 50 percent outright on October 4.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions