Russian forces have conducted limited offensive operations in northern Sumy Oblast, including areas near Pokrovka—a border village southeast of Sumy City—as recently as May 12, 2026, but achieved no confirmed advances amid Ukrainian counterattacks, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW). No notable developments specific to Pokrovka have occurred in the past 30 days, following mid-April probing attacks that stalled short of territorial gains. Earlier geolocated footage from February showed Russian infiltrations in eastern Pokrovka, countered by Ukrainian forces raising their flag on the water tower in March, maintaining control over key positions. This reflects trader focus on ISW maps tracking frontline shifts for the specific intersection at 50.802224° N, 35.379423° E, amid broader Russian efforts to establish buffer zones through cross-border raids. A recent May 9–11 ceasefire briefly paused activity, but escalation risks persist with no scheduled diplomatic events.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$67,597 交易量
5月31日
7%
$67,597 交易量
5月31日
7%
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK1.png
Intersection Location in Pokrovka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK2.png
Pokrovka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5bGDdDbzTjnHjY418
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Apr 22, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK1.png
Intersection Location in Pokrovka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK2.png
Pokrovka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5bGDdDbzTjnHjY418
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted limited offensive operations in northern Sumy Oblast, including areas near Pokrovka—a border village southeast of Sumy City—as recently as May 12, 2026, but achieved no confirmed advances amid Ukrainian counterattacks, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW). No notable developments specific to Pokrovka have occurred in the past 30 days, following mid-April probing attacks that stalled short of territorial gains. Earlier geolocated footage from February showed Russian infiltrations in eastern Pokrovka, countered by Ukrainian forces raising their flag on the water tower in March, maintaining control over key positions. This reflects trader focus on ISW maps tracking frontline shifts for the specific intersection at 50.802224° N, 35.379423° E, amid broader Russian efforts to establish buffer zones through cross-border raids. A recent May 9–11 ceasefire briefly paused activity, but escalation risks persist with no scheduled diplomatic events.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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