Trump's long-standing pattern of using direct, confrontational language in public statements, social media posts, and campaign appearances continues to shape trader views on markets tied to his future remarks. As a former president and active political figure, his communications frequently target opponents, media outlets, or officials through pointed criticism that crosses into personal insults. Recent activity on Truth Social and at rallies has shown repeated instances of such rhetoric, keeping implied probabilities elevated for near-term occurrences. Scheduled events such as upcoming speeches, interviews, or policy announcements within the next several weeks could trigger additional examples, while any shift toward more restrained messaging would likely ease those odds. Traders weigh these patterns against historical precedent of his unfiltered style persisting across electoral cycles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$509,665 交易量
2026-05-31
May 18
95%
May 19
94%
May 20
91%
May 21
90%
May 22
93%
May 23
91%
May 24
90%
May 25
91%
May 26
91%
May 27
89%
May 28
91%
May 29
91%
May 30
91%
May 31
90%
$509,665 交易量
May 18
$8,010 交易量
95%
May 19
$2,329 交易量
94%
May 20
$1,816 交易量
91%
May 21
$749 交易量
90%
May 22
$1,140 交易量
93%
May 23
$154 交易量
91%
May 24
$497 交易量
90%
May 25
$626 交易量
91%
May 26
$735 交易量
91%
May 27
$1,035 交易量
89%
May 28
$523 交易量
91%
May 29
$387 交易量
91%
May 30
$97 交易量
91%
May 31
$399 交易量
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's long-standing pattern of using direct, confrontational language in public statements, social media posts, and campaign appearances continues to shape trader views on markets tied to his future remarks. As a former president and active political figure, his communications frequently target opponents, media outlets, or officials through pointed criticism that crosses into personal insults. Recent activity on Truth Social and at rallies has shown repeated instances of such rhetoric, keeping implied probabilities elevated for near-term occurrences. Scheduled events such as upcoming speeches, interviews, or policy announcements within the next several weeks could trigger additional examples, while any shift toward more restrained messaging would likely ease those odds. Traders weigh these patterns against historical precedent of his unfiltered style persisting across electoral cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
交易量
$509,665結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's long-standing pattern of using direct, confrontational language in public statements, social media posts, and campaign appearances continues to shape trader views on markets tied to his future remarks. As a former president and active political figure, his communications frequently target opponents, media outlets, or officials through pointed criticism that crosses into personal insults. Recent activity on Truth Social and at rallies has shown repeated instances of such rhetoric, keeping implied probabilities elevated for near-term occurrences. Scheduled events such as upcoming speeches, interviews, or policy announcements within the next several weeks could trigger additional examples, while any shift toward more restrained messaging would likely ease those odds. Traders weigh these patterns against historical precedent of his unfiltered style persisting across electoral cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$509,665結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Trump's long-standing pattern of using direct, confrontational language in public statements, social media posts, and campaign appearances continues to shape trader views on markets tied to his future remarks. As a former president and active political figure, his communications frequently target opponents, media outlets, or officials through pointed criticism that crosses into personal insults. Recent activity on Truth Social and at rallies has shown repeated instances of such rhetoric, keeping implied probabilities elevated for near-term occurrences. Scheduled events such as upcoming speeches, interviews, or policy announcements within the next several weeks could trigger additional examples, while any shift toward more restrained messaging would likely ease those odds. Traders weigh these patterns against historical precedent of his unfiltered style persisting across electoral cycles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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