The constitutional amendment process requiring two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress plus ratification by three-fourths of the states forms the central barrier, with no legislation advancing repeal of the 22nd Amendment in 2026 despite isolated proposals earlier in the term. President Trump has repeatedly described the existing limits as very strong while shifting focus toward post-presidency matters, and congressional leaders have stated no viable path exists. Midterm elections scheduled for November further constrain prospects for building the necessary coalitions. Trader consensus at 97.5% against reflects these structural thresholds and absence of coordinated momentum. Late developments such as an unforeseen bipartisan surge after the midterms or an institutional crisis could theoretically shift probabilities before year-end, though both remain remote given current alignments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於3% 機率
$13,225 交易量
$13,225 交易量
2026-12-31
3% 機率
$13,225 交易量
$13,225 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The constitutional amendment process requiring two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress plus ratification by three-fourths of the states forms the central barrier, with no legislation advancing repeal of the 22nd Amendment in 2026 despite isolated proposals earlier in the term. President Trump has repeatedly described the existing limits as very strong while shifting focus toward post-presidency matters, and congressional leaders have stated no viable path exists. Midterm elections scheduled for November further constrain prospects for building the necessary coalitions. Trader consensus at 97.5% against reflects these structural thresholds and absence of coordinated momentum. Late developments such as an unforeseen bipartisan surge after the midterms or an institutional crisis could theoretically shift probabilities before year-end, though both remain remote given current alignments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
市場開放時間： Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
交易量
$13,225結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The constitutional amendment process requiring two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress plus ratification by three-fourths of the states forms the central barrier, with no legislation advancing repeal of the 22nd Amendment in 2026 despite isolated proposals earlier in the term. President Trump has repeatedly described the existing limits as very strong while shifting focus toward post-presidency matters, and congressional leaders have stated no viable path exists. Midterm elections scheduled for November further constrain prospects for building the necessary coalitions. Trader consensus at 97.5% against reflects these structural thresholds and absence of coordinated momentum. Late developments such as an unforeseen bipartisan surge after the midterms or an institutional crisis could theoretically shift probabilities before year-end, though both remain remote given current alignments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
交易量
$13,225結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETThe constitutional amendment process requiring two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress plus ratification by three-fourths of the states forms the central barrier, with no legislation advancing repeal of the 22nd Amendment in 2026 despite isolated proposals earlier in the term. President Trump has repeatedly described the existing limits as very strong while shifting focus toward post-presidency matters, and congressional leaders have stated no viable path exists. Midterm elections scheduled for November further constrain prospects for building the necessary coalitions. Trader consensus at 97.5% against reflects these structural thresholds and absence of coordinated momentum. Late developments such as an unforeseen bipartisan surge after the midterms or an institutional crisis could theoretically shift probabilities before year-end, though both remain remote given current alignments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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