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習近平2027年前離婚?

icon for 習近平2027年前離婚?

習近平2027年前離婚?

2% 機率
Polymarket

$85,137 交易量

2% 機率
Polymarket

$85,137 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 98.5% for Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027, reflecting the complete absence of any verified reports, official announcements, or credible rumors of marital issues between Xi and his wife Peng Liyuan, married since 1987. As China's paramount leader and Chinese Communist Party general secretary, Xi's personal life remains tightly controlled within state narratives, prioritizing political stability and public image over private matters—a dynamic unchanged by recent diplomatic engagements or domestic policy focuses through mid-2026. No developments in the past 30 days, including joint public appearances, have signaled discord. Realistic shifts would require an unprecedented official divorce statement from Xi or Peng, potentially triggered by a major personal health crisis or leaked scandal, though such barriers remain extraordinarily high.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
交易量
$85,137
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 98.5% for Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027, reflecting the complete absence of any verified reports, official announcements, or credible rumors of marital issues between Xi and his wife Peng Liyuan, married since 1987. As China's paramount leader and Chinese Communist Party general secretary, Xi's personal life remains tightly controlled within state narratives, prioritizing political stability and public image over private matters—a dynamic unchanged by recent diplomatic engagements or domestic policy focuses through mid-2026. No developments in the past 30 days, including joint public appearances, have signaled discord. Realistic shifts would require an unprecedented official divorce statement from Xi or Peng, potentially triggered by a major personal health crisis or leaked scandal, though such barriers remain extraordinarily high.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
交易量
$85,137
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"習近平2027年前離婚?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "習近平會在2027年前離婚嗎?" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 2¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 2% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "習近平2027年前離婚?" has generated $85.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "習近平2027年前離婚?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "習近平2027年前離婚?" is "習近平會在2027年前離婚嗎?" at just 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "習近平2027年前離婚?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.